Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos (BSP:RPMG3) Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


BSP:RPMG3 Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos SA BSP:RPMG3
52 GF Score
Price R$1.29
GF Value R$4.42
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Beneish M-Score?

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos BSP:RPMG3 -1.53% 52 Beneish M-Score is -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:RPMG3 with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of R$4.42 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos ranks better than 68.37% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:RPMG3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -92.55   Med: -3.02   Max: 9.75
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos was 9.75. The lowest was -92.55. And the median was -3.02.


Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Beneish M-Score Chart

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.95 -1.87 -2.90 -3.09 -2.48

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Quarterly Data
Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.99 -2.48 0.00 -2.94

BSP:RPMG3 vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BSP:RPMG3
52GF Score
Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos SA BSP:RPMG3
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8515+0.528 * 1.1038+0.404 * 0.7426+0.892 * 1.6831+0.115 * 0.5349
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7694+4.679 * -0.17423-0.327 * 1.1642
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$6,432 Mil.
Revenue was 2405.643 + 1919.466 + 2409.188 + 1908.251 = R$8,643 Mil.
Gross Profit was -374.455 + -316.636 + -310.304 + -245.352 = R$-1,247 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$9,817 Mil.
Total Assets was R$10,288 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$453 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$44 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$571 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$12,948 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$0 Mil.
Net Income was -514.368 + -408.816 + -363.089 + -372.353 = R$-1,659 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.014 + 1.73 + 98.808 + 4.266 = R$134 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$4,488 Mil.
Revenue was 1358.914 + 1307.153 + 1197.208 + 1271.491 = R$5,135 Mil.
Gross Profit was -171.313 + -41.638 + -329.058 + -275.599 = R$-818 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$6,935 Mil.
Total Assets was R$7,364 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$412 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$441 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$7,961 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6432.451 / 8642.548) / (4488.086 / 5134.766)
=0.744277 / 0.874059
=0.8515

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-817.608 / 5134.766) / (-1246.747 / 8642.548)
=-0.15923 / -0.144257
=1.1038

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9817.361 + 453.488) / 10287.823) / (1 - (6935.236 + 412.464) / 7364.062)
=0.00165 / 0.002222
=0.7426

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8642.548 / 5134.766
=1.6831

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(20.661 / (20.661 + 412.464)) / (44.402 / (44.402 + 453.488))
=0.047702 / 0.08918
=0.5349

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(570.95 / 8642.548) / (440.891 / 5134.766)
=0.066063 / 0.085864
=0.7694

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 12948.215) / 10287.823) / ((0 + 7961.037) / 7364.062)
=1.258596 / 1.081066
=1.1642

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1658.626 - 0 - 133.818) / 10287.823
=-0.17423

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.94 mean?
Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos (BSP:RPMG3) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos ranks #260 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 31.6%.
Is Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos' Beneish M-Score too high?
Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos' current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. Based on the distribution chart, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos ranks #260 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos' Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos ranks #260 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos and its competitors. Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos's current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos (BSP:RPMG3) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is R$4.42, compared to a current price of R$1.29 — trading 70.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.94. Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos (BSP:RPMG3), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.94 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos (BSP:RPMG3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$1.29 is trading 70.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$4.42. GuruFocus considers Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BSP:RPMG3:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.94
  • GF Value™: R$4.42 vs. price of R$1.29 (70.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:RPMG3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Avenida Brasil, 3141, Manguinhos, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 20930041
Refinaria De Petroleos Manguinhos SA is engaged in the operation of the oil refinery, import, sale and export of crude oil and its derivatives, and provision of services related to the refining activity, among others.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:RPMG3

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$1.29
Price
R$4.42
GF Value