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eBay (BUE:EBAY) Beneish M-Score : -2.62 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is eBay Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for eBay's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:EBAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.53   Med: -2.56   Max: 0.33
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of eBay was 0.33. The lowest was -3.53. And the median was -2.56.


eBay Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for eBay's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

eBay Beneish M-Score Chart

eBay Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.99 -2.08 0.33 -2.46 -2.62

eBay Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.45 -2.70 -2.67 -2.62

Competitive Comparison of eBay's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, eBay's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


eBay's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, eBay's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where eBay's Beneish M-Score falls into.



eBay Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of eBay for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2006+0.528 * 1.0095+0.404 * 0.8719+0.892 * 2.2185+0.115 * 1.0765
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0706+4.679 * -0.054318-0.327 * 0.9232
=-1.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS435,366 Mil.
Revenue was 924882.001 + 874875.024 + 609599.995 + 495850.512 = ARS2,905,208 Mil.
Gross Profit was 668572.001 + 628160.267 + 437279.997 + 357565.508 = ARS2,091,578 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS3,976,776 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS7,804,820 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS626,696 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS114,701 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS991,776 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS1,631,720 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS2,656,960 Mil.
Net Income was 261364 + 456684.763 + 41040 + 112010.853 = ARS871,100 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 227069 + 424139.412 + -51360 + 39114.901 = ARS638,963 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 44042 + 301656.908 + 144239.999 + 166139.554 = ARS656,078 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS163,459 Mil.
Revenue was 420801.488 + 330700.995 + 291439.264 + 266604.812 = ARS1,309,547 Mil.
Gross Profit was 306631.842 + 240800.346 + 211660.473 + 192625.466 = ARS951,718 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS1,557,468 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS3,495,502 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS293,555 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS58,657 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS417,589 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS716,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS1,364,503 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(435366 / 2905207.532) / (163458.745 / 1309546.559)
=0.149857 / 0.124821
=1.2006

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(951718.127 / 1309546.559) / (2091577.773 / 2905207.532)
=0.726754 / 0.719941
=1.0095

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3976776.004 + 626696.001) / 7804820.007) / (1 - (1557468.457 + 293555.142) / 3495502.403)
=0.410176 / 0.470456
=0.8719

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2905207.532 / 1309546.559
=2.2185

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(58656.542 / (58656.542 + 293555.142)) / (114701.001 / (114701.001 + 626696.001))
=0.166538 / 0.154709
=1.0765

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(991775.91 / 2905207.532) / (417588.711 / 1309546.559)
=0.341379 / 0.31888
=1.0706

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2656960.002 + 1631720.001) / 7804820.007) / ((1364503.312 + 716033.13) / 3495502.403)
=0.549491 / 0.595204
=0.9232

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(871099.616 - 638963.313 - 656078.461) / 7804820.007
=-0.054318

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

eBay has a M-score of -1.49 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


eBay (BUE:EBAY) Business Description

Address
2025 Hamilton Avenue, San Jose, CA, USA, 95125
EBay operates one of the largest e-commerce marketplaces in the world, with $74 billion in 2022 gross merchandise volume, or GMV, rendering the firm a top 10 global e-commerce company. eBay generates revenue from listing fees, advertising, revenue-sharing arrangements with service providers, and managed payments, with its platform connecting more than 132 million buyers and roughly 20 million sellers across almost 190 global markets at the end of 2022. eBay generates just north of 50% of its GMV in international markets, with a large presence in the U.K., Germany, and Australia.

eBay (BUE:EBAY) Headlines

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