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Kinross Gold (BUE:KGC) Beneish M-Score : -3.17 (As of Apr. 05, 2025)


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What is Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.17 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:KGC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.09   Med: -3.17   Max: -0.48
Current: -3.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kinross Gold was -0.48. The lowest was -4.09. And the median was -3.17.


Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Kinross Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 -0.48 -3.13 -3.38 -3.17

Kinross Gold Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.38 -3.21 -3.08 -2.98 -3.17

Competitive Comparison of Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kinross Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kinross Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6628+0.528 * 0.7352+0.404 * 0.9511+0.892 * 3.8843+0.115 * 0.7858
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9628+4.679 * -0.128884-0.327 * 0.7633
=-0.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ARS99,081 Mil.
Revenue was 1429958.014 + 1361115.94 + 1092062.234 + 911163.765 = ARS4,794,300 Mil.
Gross Profit was 552672.006 + 613642.773 + 347095.795 + 250980.754 = ARS1,764,391 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS2,147,967 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS10,974,256 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS8,095,352 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS1,062,140 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS116,284 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS1,070,701 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS1,247,855 Mil.
Net Income was 278356.003 + 337712.635 + 188860.947 + 90147.502 = ARS895,077 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 14645 + -5703 + 5104.35 + 84.25 = ARS14,131 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 741845.007 + 697191.719 + 540881.992 + 315432.005 = ARS2,295,351 Mil.
Total Receivables was ARS38,483 Mil.
Revenue was 402767.7 + 385784.891 + 262151.998 + 183583.219 = ARS1,234,288 Mil.
Gross Profit was 91369.1 + 111249.108 + 85223.999 + 46127.926 = ARS333,970 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ARS650,630 Mil.
Total Assets was ARS3,806,131 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS2,888,975 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS289,728 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS31,095 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ARS247,466 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS805,969 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(99081.001 / 4794299.953) / (38482.6 / 1234287.808)
=0.020666 / 0.031178
=0.6628

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(333970.133 / 1234287.808) / (1764391.328 / 4794299.953)
=0.270577 / 0.368019
=0.7352

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2147967.021 + 8095352.081) / 10974256.11) / (1 - (650630.301 + 2888974.703) / 3806131.303)
=0.066605 / 0.070026
=0.9511

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4794299.953 / 1234287.808
=3.8843

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(289728.354 / (289728.354 + 2888974.703)) / (1062139.741 / (1062139.741 + 8095352.081))
=0.091147 / 0.115986
=0.7858

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(116284.45 / 4794299.953) / (31095.43 / 1234287.808)
=0.024255 / 0.025193
=0.9628

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1247855.012 + 1070701.011) / 10974256.11) / ((805968.601 + 247465.5) / 3806131.303)
=0.211272 / 0.276773
=0.7633

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(895077.087 - 14130.6 - 2295350.723) / 10974256.11
=-0.128884

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kinross Gold has a M-score of -0.92 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Kinross Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kinross Gold Business Description

Address
25 York Street, 17th Floor, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2V5
Kinross Gold is a Canada-based gold producer, producing roughly 2.1 million gold equivalent ounces in 2024. The company had about a decade of gold reserves at the end of 2024. It operates mines in the Americas and West Africa after selling its low-cost Russian operations in 2022 in response to the invasion of Ukraine. The company has historically used acquisitions to fuel expansion into new regions and production growth. In 2022, Kinross purchased the Great Bear project in Canada. If developed as we think likely, it could produce an average of more than 500,000 ounces of gold per year for at least a decade, with its unit cash costs likely in the first quartile of the industry cost curve.

Kinross Gold Headlines