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ESR Group (ESR Group) Beneish M-Score

: -2.04 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ESR Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ESRCF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -1.99   Max: -0.23
Current: -2.04

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ESR Group was -0.23. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -1.99.


ESR Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ESR Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ESR Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -1.94 -2.74 -0.23 -2.04

ESR Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 - -0.23 - -2.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, ESR Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ESR Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, ESR Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ESR Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ESR Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ESR Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3467+0.528 * 1.0355+0.404 * 1.0421+0.892 * 1.0611+0.115 * 1.017
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8834+4.679 * 0.005439-0.327 * 1.0672
=-2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,097.8 Mil.
Revenue was $871.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was $811.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,450.5 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,191.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $80.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $50.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $460.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,630.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,100.3 Mil.
Net Income was $230.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $142.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was $768.2 Mil.
Revenue was $821.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was $791.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,010.3 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,199.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $74.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $47.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $491.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,079.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,230.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1097.815 / 871.326) / (768.246 / 821.154)
=1.259936 / 0.935569
=1.3467

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(791.926 / 821.154) / (811.53 / 871.326)
=0.964406 / 0.931374
=1.0355

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2450.455 + 80.892) / 16191.075) / (1 - (3010.291 + 74.821) / 16199.374)
=0.843658 / 0.809554
=1.0421

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=871.326 / 821.154
=1.0611

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(47.863 / (47.863 + 74.821)) / (50.343 / (50.343 + 80.892))
=0.390132 / 0.38361
=1.017

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(460.498 / 871.326) / (491.275 / 821.154)
=0.528503 / 0.598274
=0.8834

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5100.259 + 1630.226) / 16191.075) / ((5229.963 + 1079.717) / 16199.374)
=0.415691 / 0.389501
=1.0672

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(230.849 - 0 - 142.787) / 16191.075
=0.005439

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ESR Group has a M-score of -2.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ESR Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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ESR Group (ESR Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Two Exchange Square, Suites 2905-06, 8 Connaught Place, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
ESR Group, or ESR, is one of the largest real asset managers in the Asia-Pacific, with USD 145 billion in total assets under management as of Dec. 31, 2022. Most of its earnings are derived from fund management, where it manages underlying assets in investment vehicles such as a fund or REIT for fee income and a share of profits. It also develops and holds investment properties on its balance sheet for rental income and capital appreciation and will divest them into its managed funds and REITs over time to unlock and recycle the capital into other investment opportunities. In addition, to align its interest with its capital partners, ESR coinvests in the funds and REITs that it manages where it generates dividend income, pro rata earnings and value appreciation.

ESR Group (ESR Group) Headlines

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