Coles Group (FRA:2OF) Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:2OF Coles Group Ltd FRA:2OF
72 GF Score
Price €14.20
GF Value €12.18
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Coles Group Beneish M-Score?

Coles Group FRA:2OF 72 Beneish M-Score is -3.00 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:2OF with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of €12.18 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Coles Group ranks better than 80.2% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coles Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:2OF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -3.04   Max: -2.71
Current: -3

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Coles Group was -2.71. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -3.04.


Coles Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Coles Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Coles Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Coles Group Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -3.10 -2.75 -2.71 -3.08 -3.00

Coles Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.08 0.00 -3.00 0.00

FRA:2OF vs KR, SFM, ACI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Coles Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coles Group Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coles Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coles Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:2OF
72GF Score
Coles Group Ltd FRA:2OF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Coles Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Coles Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9645+0.528 * 0.9804+0.404 * 1.012+0.892 * 0.9314+0.115 * 0.98
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0336+4.679 * -0.104218-0.327 * 0.995
=-3.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €275 Mil.
Revenue was €25,035 Mil.
Gross Profit was €6,606 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,358 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,455 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,230 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €886 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €4,693 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,870 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,221 Mil.
Net Income was €609 Mil.
Gross Profit was €146 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,657 Mil.
Total Receivables was €306 Mil.
Revenue was €26,877 Mil.
Gross Profit was €6,953 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,522 Mil.
Total Assets was €12,320 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €7,814 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €936 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €4,875 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,177 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,649 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(274.889 / 25034.625) / (305.965 / 26877.463)
=0.01098 / 0.011384
=0.9645

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6953.312 / 26877.463) / (6605.795 / 25034.625)
=0.258704 / 0.263866
=0.9804

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2358.285 + 7229.516) / 11455.012) / (1 - (2521.748 + 7813.84) / 12320.045)
=0.163004 / 0.161075
=1.012

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25034.625 / 26877.463
=0.9314

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(935.786 / (935.786 + 7813.84)) / (885.627 / (885.627 + 7229.516))
=0.106952 / 0.109133
=0.98

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4693.428 / 25034.625) / (4875.091 / 26877.463)
=0.187477 / 0.181382
=1.0336

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5220.627 + 3869.891) / 11455.012) / ((5649.258 + 4176.799) / 12320.045)
=0.793584 / 0.797567
=0.995

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(609.045 - 145.629 - 1657.234) / 11455.012
=-0.104218

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Coles Group has a M-score of -3.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.00 mean?
Coles Group (FRA:2OF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.00 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Coles Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Coles Group ranks #58 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 19.8%.
Is Coles Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Coles Group's current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. Based on the distribution chart, Coles Group ranks #58 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Coles Group has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Coles Group's Beneish M-Score compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Coles Group ranks #58 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Coles Group in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Coles Group and its competitors. Coles Group's current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Coles Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Coles Group (FRA:2OF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €12.18, compared to a current price of €14.20 — trading 16.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.00. Coles Group's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Coles Group (FRA:2OF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.00 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Coles Group (FRA:2OF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Coles Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €14.20 is trading 16.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of €12.18. GuruFocus considers Coles Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:2OF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.00
  • GF Value™: €12.18 vs. price of €14.20 (16.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:2OF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Coles Group Business Description

Other Exchanges CLEGF:USACOL:Australia
Address 800-838 Toorak Road, Hawthorn East, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3123
Coles is one of Australia's largest retailers, operating the second-largest supermarket chain behind market leader Woolworths, and the country's second-largest liquor chain. The group has an extensive store network of over 1,800 stores and roughly 80% of Australians live within a 10-minute drive from a Coles store. The retailer employs some 120,000 people, who process some 20 million individual customer transactions a week. This compares with Woolworths processing about 30 million customer transactions per week from Australia's population of 27 million.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:2OF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€14.20
Price
€12.18
GF Value