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Burford Capital (FRA:9BFA) Beneish M-Score : -2.42 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Burford Capital Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Burford Capital's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:9BFA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.42   Med: -0.15   Max: 1.39
Current: -2.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Burford Capital was 1.39. The lowest was -2.42. And the median was -0.15.


Burford Capital Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Burford Capital for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 1.167+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7754+4.679 * 0.102205-0.327 * 0
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €0.0 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 119.208 + 300.48 + 17.266 = €437.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 119.208 + 300.48 + 17.266 = €437.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,531.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €46.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0.0 Mil.
Net Income was 0 + 91.787 + 255.372 + -19.881 = €327.3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + -64.585 + 14.628 + -188.083 = €-238.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was €93.9 Mil.
Revenue was 316.207 + 87.792 + -46.926 + 17.355 = €374.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 316.207 + 87.792 + -46.926 + 17.355 = €374.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €4,372.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €51.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,178.7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 436.954) / (93.861 / 374.428)
=0 / 0.250678
=0

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(374.428 / 374.428) / (436.954 / 436.954)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 0) / 5531.231) / (1 - (0 + 0) / 4372.347)
=1 / 1
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=436.954 / 374.428
=1.167

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 0)) / (0 / (0 + 0))
= /
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(46.319 / 436.954) / (51.187 / 374.428)
=0.106004 / 0.136707
=0.7754

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 0) / 5531.231) / ((1178.738 + 0) / 4372.347)
=0 / 0.269589
=0

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(327.278 - 0 - -238.04) / 5531.231
=0.102205

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Burford Capital has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Burford Capital Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Burford Capital (FRA:9BFA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hirzel Street, Oak House, St Peter Port, GGY, GY1 2NP
Burford Capital Ltd is a finance firm providing litigation finance, insurance, and risk transfer, law firm lending, corporate intelligence and judgment enforcement, and a wide range of investment activities. It operates in two segments: Capital provision, which is the provision of capital to the legal industry or in connection with legal matters, both directly and through investment in the group's managed funds; Asset management and other services, which includes the provision of services to the legal industry, including litigation insurance; and other corporate. The geographical segments include the United States, United Kingdom, Singapore, Hong Kong, China, and, Australia.