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Grupa Kety (FRA:GQ2) Beneish M-Score : -2.86 (As of Sep. 22, 2024)


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What is Grupa Kety Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:GQ2' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.57   Max: -1.7
Current: -2.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupa Kety was -1.70. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.57.


Grupa Kety Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupa Kety Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupa Kety Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.05 -2.89 -1.99 -2.28 -3.14

Grupa Kety Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.06 -3.06 -3.14 -3.00 -2.86

Competitive Comparison of Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupa Kety's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grupa Kety Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupa Kety for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.085+0.528 * 0.8324+0.404 * 1.1817+0.892 * 0.9188+0.115 * 1.0014
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0+4.679 * -0.117283-0.327 * 0.9938
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €199 Mil.
Revenue was 308.401 + 293.91 + 283.374 + 311.101 = €1,197 Mil.
Gross Profit was 130.948 + 118.063 + 108.138 + 124.556 = €482 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €405 Mil.
Total Assets was €917 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €459 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €45 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €350 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €143 Mil.
Net Income was 39.458 + 35.619 + 16.905 + 42.922 = €135 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 52.148 + 48.997 + 63.753 + 77.568 = €242 Mil.
Total Receivables was €200 Mil.
Revenue was 317.33 + 325.539 + 302.204 + 357.485 = €1,303 Mil.
Gross Profit was 115.888 + 107.784 + 94.823 + 117.917 = €436 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €421 Mil.
Total Assets was €886 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €42 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €22 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €345 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €134 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(199.031 / 1196.786) / (199.658 / 1302.558)
=0.166305 / 0.153281
=1.085

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(436.412 / 1302.558) / (481.705 / 1196.786)
=0.335042 / 0.402499
=0.8324

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (404.788 + 459.307) / 917.115) / (1 - (420.879 + 422.031) / 886.268)
=0.057812 / 0.048922
=1.1817

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1196.786 / 1302.558
=0.9188

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(41.601 / (41.601 + 422.031)) / (45.207 / (45.207 + 459.307))
=0.089728 / 0.089605
=1.0014

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1196.786) / (22.146 / 1302.558)
=0 / 0.017002
=0

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((142.989 + 349.81) / 917.115) / ((134.483 + 344.704) / 886.268)
=0.537336 / 0.54068
=0.9938

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(134.904 - 0 - 242.466) / 917.115
=-0.117283

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupa Kety has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupa Kety Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupa Kety Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
ul. Ko?ciuszki 111, Kety, POL, 32-650
Grupa Kety SA manufactures and sells extruded aluminum and other aluminum products primarily to industrial customers. The firm organizes itself into five segments based on product. The Extruded Products segment manufactures aluminum profiles. The Flexible Packaging segment produces and sells packaging to the food industry. The Aluminum Systems segment, which generates the most revenue of any segment, sells aluminum systems to the building industry. The Building Accessories and Building Services segments produce and sell hardware and aluminum facades to the construction industry. The vast majority of Grupa Kety's revenue comes from Poland, where the company's operations are also located.

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