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Orora (FRA:OORD) Beneish M-Score : -2.04 (As of Apr. 06, 2025)


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What is Orora Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orora's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:OORD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.04

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orora was -2.04. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.54.


Orora Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orora's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orora Beneish M-Score Chart

Orora Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.72 -2.54 -2.65 -2.04

Orora Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.65 - -2.04 -

Competitive Comparison of Orora's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Orora's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orora's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Orora's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orora's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Orora Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orora for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2287+0.528 * 0.9561+0.404 * 1.6415+0.892 * 1.0901+0.115 * 1.2303
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0007+4.679 * -0.035276-0.327 * 0.8508
=-2.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €429 Mil.
Revenue was €2,898 Mil.
Gross Profit was €565 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,193 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,697 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,297 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €128 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €346 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €752 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,427 Mil.
Net Income was €114 Mil.
Gross Profit was €6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €239 Mil.
Total Receivables was €321 Mil.
Revenue was €2,658 Mil.
Gross Profit was €495 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €779 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,736 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €612 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €76 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €317 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €672 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €530 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(429.277 / 2897.789) / (320.51 / 2658.302)
=0.148139 / 0.120569
=1.2287

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(495.447 / 2658.302) / (564.864 / 2897.789)
=0.186377 / 0.194929
=0.9561

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1193.45 + 1297.146) / 3696.692) / (1 - (779.099 + 611.534) / 1735.612)
=0.326264 / 0.198765
=1.6415

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2897.789 / 2658.302
=1.0901

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(76.194 / (76.194 + 611.534)) / (128.37 / (128.37 + 1297.146))
=0.110791 / 0.090052
=1.2303

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(346.123 / 2897.789) / (317.289 / 2658.302)
=0.119444 / 0.119358
=1.0007

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1426.872 + 751.713) / 3696.692) / ((530.137 + 672.056) / 1735.612)
=0.589334 / 0.692662
=0.8508

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(114.244 - 5.552 - 239.097) / 3696.692
=-0.035276

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orora has a M-score of -2.04 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orora Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
109-133 Burwood Road, Hawthorn, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3122
Orora produces glass bottles and aluminum cans for the beverage industry. In Australia, it manufactures glass bottles for the wine industry, and aluminum cans for soft drink, alcohol, and specialty drink producers. It is the largest aluminum can manufacturer in Australia, producing about two-thirds of volumes. Orora's acquisition of Saverglass in fiscal 2024 has increased its global footprint. Here, it produces glass bottles, mainly for premium and ultrapremium spirit and wine brands in Europe, Mexico, and North America. It is one of four global players in this category. The company sold its more commoditized North American cardboard and plastic packaging segment for AUD 1.8 billion, with the sale of the business completing in late 2024.

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