Sinotrans (FRA:SIY) Beneish M-Score: -2.53 (As of Jul. 11, 2026)


FRA:SIY Sinotrans Ltd FRA:SIY
53 GF Score
Price €0.44
GF Value €0.39
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sinotrans Beneish M-Score?

Sinotrans FRA:SIY 53 Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:SIY with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.39 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 964 Transportation companies, Sinotrans ranks worse than 55.19% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sinotrans's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:SIY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.53   Med: -2.41   Max: -2.38
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sinotrans was -2.38. The lowest was -2.53. And the median was -2.41.


Sinotrans Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sinotrans's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sinotrans Beneish M-Score Chart

Sinotrans Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.41 -2.38 -2.53

Sinotrans Quarterly Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 -2.38 -1.90 -3.87 -2.53

FRA:SIY vs UPS, FDX, JBHT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Sinotrans's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sinotrans Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Sinotrans's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sinotrans's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:SIY
53GF Score
Sinotrans Ltd FRA:SIY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sinotrans Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sinotrans for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.159+0.528 * -0.5348+0.404 * 0.9728+0.892 * 0.5556+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * -7.0594+4.679 * -0.046763-0.327 * 0.8741
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,819 Mil.
Revenue was 2639.78 + 2932.106 + 0 + 2590.384 = €8,162 Mil.
Gross Profit was -291.201 + 353.249 + 0 + -306.957 = €-245 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,730 Mil.
Total Assets was €9,500 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,219 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €-276 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,964 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,093 Mil.
Net Income was 162.781 + 87.592 + 0 + 143.292 = €394 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 303.517 + 49.586 + 0 + 484.803 = €838 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,825 Mil.
Revenue was 3752.768 + 4112.266 + 3102.645 + 3723.334 = €14,691 Mil.
Gross Profit was 379.761 + -5.895 + 159.792 + -297.923 = €236 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €5,191 Mil.
Total Assets was €10,372 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,317 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €70 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,091 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €977 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1819.323 / 8162.27) / (2825.196 / 14691.013)
=0.222894 / 0.192308
=1.159

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(235.735 / 14691.013) / (-244.909 / 8162.27)
=0.016046 / -0.030005
=-0.5348

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4729.83 + 2218.679) / 9499.813) / (1 - (5191.245 + 2317.063) / 10371.529)
=0.268564 / 0.276065
=0.9728

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8162.27 / 14691.013
=0.5556

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2317.063)) / (0 / (0 + 2218.679))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(-276.236 / 8162.27) / (70.433 / 14691.013)
=-0.033843 / 0.004794
=-7.0594

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1093.302 + 2964.366) / 9499.813) / ((976.872 + 4091.24) / 10371.529)
=0.427131 / 0.488656
=0.8741

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(393.665 - 0 - 837.906) / 9499.813
=-0.046763

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sinotrans has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 mean?
Sinotrans (FRA:SIY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.53 as of Jul. 11, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sinotrans and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sinotrans ranks #532 out of 964 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 55.2%.
Is Sinotrans' Beneish M-Score too high?
Sinotrans' current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. Based on the distribution chart, Sinotrans ranks #532 out of 964 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Sinotrans has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sinotrans' Beneish M-Score compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Sinotrans ranks #532 out of 964 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Sinotrans in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Sinotrans and its competitors. Sinotrans's current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sinotrans stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sinotrans (FRA:SIY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.39, compared to a current price of €0.44 — trading 11.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.53. Sinotrans' overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sinotrans (FRA:SIY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.53 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sinotrans (FRA:SIY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sinotrans stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.44 is trading 11.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.39. GuruFocus considers Sinotrans to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:SIY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.53
  • GF Value™: €0.39 vs. price of €0.44 (11.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:SIY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sinotrans Business Description

Other Exchanges 00598:Hong Kong601598:China
Address No. 5 Anding Road, 1101, 11th Floor of 101, 1st to 22nd Floor, Building 10, Sinotrans Tower B, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100029
Sinotrans Ltd is an integrated logistics services company. The company's reporting and operating segments are: Agency and related business, Professional logistics, and E-commerce. The Agency and related business segment, which derives key revenue, includes arranging the delivery of goods to designated consignees in other locations within a specified time frame following customer instructions; including shipping agency services related to freight agency to shipping companies, providing storage, storage yards, container loading and unloading stations, and terminal services. The Professional logistics segment provides customised and professional logistics services to customers, and the E-commerce segment provides logistics solutions for import and export to e-commerce customers.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:SIY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.44
Price
€0.39
GF Value