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Ferguson Enterprises (FRA:UH3) Beneish M-Score : -2.47 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.47 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:UH3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.45
Current: -2.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ferguson Enterprises was -1.45. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.53.


Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Chart

Ferguson Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -1.97 -2.67 -2.52

Ferguson Enterprises Quarterly Data
Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.66 -2.57 -2.52 -2.47

Competitive Comparison of Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ferguson Enterprises for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9747+0.528 * 0.9922+0.404 * 0.9857+0.892 * 1.0062+0.115 * 0.9706
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0299+4.679 * 0.001323-0.327 * 0.9785
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Oct24) TTM:Last Year (Oct23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,343 Mil.
Revenue was 7134.696 + 7326.212 + 6811.056 + 6125.814 = €27,398 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2148.12 + 2269.042 + 2080.224 + 1862.622 = €8,360 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,836 Mil.
Total Assets was €15,476 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,112 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €318 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,663 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,268 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,298 Mil.
Net Income was 431.46 + 415.822 + 412.876 + 295.596 = €1,556 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 316.71 + 337.452 + 600.208 + 280.908 = €1,535 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,409 Mil.
Revenue was 7299.476 + 7085.552 + 6511.68 + 6333.6 = €27,230 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2207.457 + 2171.408 + 1951.68 + 1913.536 = €8,244 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,968 Mil.
Total Assets was €15,548 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,984 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €295 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €5,465 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €5,244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,579 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3343.356 / 27397.778) / (3409.2 / 27230.308)
=0.12203 / 0.125199
=0.9747

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8244.081 / 27230.308) / (8360.008 / 27397.778)
=0.302754 / 0.305135
=0.9922

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8835.75 + 3112.02) / 15475.644) / (1 - (8968.09 + 2983.997) / 15547.846)
=0.227963 / 0.231271
=0.9857

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27397.778 / 27230.308
=1.0062

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(295.312 / (295.312 + 2983.997)) / (318.248 / (318.248 + 3112.02))
=0.090053 / 0.092776
=0.9706

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5663.162 / 27397.778) / (5465.256 / 27230.308)
=0.206702 / 0.200705
=1.0299

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4298.076 + 5268.402) / 15475.644) / ((4578.745 + 5243.539) / 15547.846)
=0.618163 / 0.631746
=0.9785

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1555.754 - 0 - 1535.278) / 15475.644
=0.001323

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ferguson Enterprises has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ferguson Enterprises Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
751 Lakefront Commons, Newport News, VA, USA, 23606
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products primarily to repair, maintenance and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. In fiscal 2023, Ferguson derived 95% of its nearly $30 billion of sales in the United States According to Modern Distribution Management, Ferguson is the largest industrial and construction distributor in North America. The firm sold its UK business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.

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