Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Chart
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Aryzta AG Annual Data
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Dec24 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-2.95 |
-3.33 |
-3.02 |
-2.76 |
-3.17 |
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Aryzta AG Semi-Annual Data
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Dec24 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-3.02 |
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-2.76 |
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-3.17 |
Competitive Comparison of Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aryzta AG's Beneish M-Score falls into.
Aryzta AG Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Aryzta AG for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9125 | + | 0.528 * 0.8642 | + | 0.404 * 0.9923 | + | 0.892 * 1.0336 | + | 0.115 * 1.0122 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.087 | + | 4.679 * -0.088592 | - | 0.327 * 1.3226 |
| = | -3.14 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Jul23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was €125 Mil.
Revenue was €2,195 Mil.
Gross Profit was €469 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €362 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,911 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €871 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €279 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €569 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €785 Mil.
Net Income was €130 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €299 Mil.
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Total Receivables was €132 Mil.
Revenue was €2,123 Mil.
Gross Profit was €392 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €428 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,967 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €837 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €128 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €249 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €573 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €481 Mil.
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1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (124.5 / 2194.5) | / | (132 / 2123.2) |
| = | 0.056733 | / | 0.06217 |
| | = | 0.9125 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (392.3 / 2123.2) | / | (469.2 / 2194.5) |
| = | 0.184768 | / | 0.213807 |
| | = | 0.8642 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (362.4 + 871.3) / 1911) | / | (1 - (427.5 + 836.9) / 1966.9) |
| = | 0.354422 | / | 0.357161 |
| | = | 0.9923 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 2194.5 | / | 2123.2 |
| | = | 1.0336 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (127.5 / (127.5 + 836.9)) | / | (130.9 / (130.9 + 871.3)) |
| = | 0.132207 | / | 0.130613 |
| | = | 1.0122 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (279.2 / 2194.5) | / | (248.5 / 2123.2) |
| = | 0.127227 | / | 0.11704 |
| | = | 1.087 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((784.6 + 569.3) / 1911) | / | ((481 + 572.6) / 1966.9) |
| = | 0.708477 | / | 0.535665 |
| | = | 1.3226 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (129.6 - 0 | - | 298.9) | / | 1911 |
| | = | -0.088592 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Aryzta AG has a M-score of -3.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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