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Century Ginwa Retail Holdings (HKSE:00162) Beneish M-Score : -1.11 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.11 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00162' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.3   Med: -3.03   Max: -1.11
Current: -1.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Century Ginwa Retail Holdings was -1.11. The lowest was -4.30. And the median was -3.03.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -4.30 -3.16 -3.21 -1.11

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 - -3.21 - -1.11

Competitive Comparison of Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Century Ginwa Retail Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.0722+0.528 * 0.8843+0.404 * 0.8899+0.892 * 0.9476+0.115 * 0.7952
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1981+4.679 * -0.061597-0.327 * 1.1029
=-1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$61.7 Mil.
Revenue was HK$397.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$213.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$319.8 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,413.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,863.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$215.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$45.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,471.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$4,145.9 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-495.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$22.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$21.2 Mil.
Revenue was HK$420.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$199.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$223.2 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,434.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$6,826.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$169.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$40.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$4,960.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,054.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(61.669 / 397.945) / (21.184 / 419.963)
=0.154969 / 0.050443
=3.0722

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(199.121 / 419.963) / (213.367 / 397.945)
=0.474139 / 0.536172
=0.8843

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (319.758 + 6863.874) / 8413.442) / (1 - (223.155 + 6826.125) / 8434.664)
=0.146172 / 0.164249
=0.8899

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=397.945 / 419.963
=0.9476

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(169.658 / (169.658 + 6826.125)) / (215.92 / (215.92 + 6863.874))
=0.024251 / 0.030498
=0.7952

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(45.468 / 397.945) / (40.051 / 419.963)
=0.114257 / 0.095368
=1.1981

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4145.856 + 2471.409) / 8413.442) / ((1053.977 + 4960.784) / 8434.664)
=0.786511 / 0.7131
=1.1029

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-495.755 - 0 - 22.491) / 8413.442
=-0.061597

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings has a M-score of -1.11 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Century Ginwa Retail Holdings (HKSE:00162) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
303 Hennessy Road, Unit 301, 3rd Floor, Wanchai, OfficePlus@Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. The segments of the group are Department stores and shopping mall; and Supermarkets. It derives key revenue from Supermarkets segment. The group's revenue is substantially derived from retail customers in the PRC.
Executives
Glory Keen Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Exponential Fortune Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Capital Fund 2008 Gp Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Capital Fund 2008, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Group Management Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Managing Partners Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhao John Huan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Capital Fund 2008 Gp, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hony Capital Fund 2008, Gp L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Qu Jiang Wen Hua Jin Rong Guo Ji Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Xi An Qu Jiang Wen Hua Jin Rong Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xi An Qu Jiang Xin Qu Guan Li Wei Yuan Hui 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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