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Lai Fung Holdings (HKSE:01125) Beneish M-Score : -2.28 (As of Mar. 29, 2025)


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What is Lai Fung Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01125' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.03   Med: -2.39   Max: -1.14
Current: -2.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lai Fung Holdings was -1.14. The lowest was -3.03. And the median was -2.39.


Lai Fung Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lai Fung Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Lai Fung Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -1.14 -3.03 -2.66 -2.28

Lai Fung Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.66 - -2.28 -

Competitive Comparison of Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lai Fung Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Lai Fung Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lai Fung Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8261+0.528 * 1.2343+0.404 * 1.032+0.892 * 1.2179+0.115 * 1.4583
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6855+4.679 * -0.023268-0.327 * 0.9022
=-2.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul24) TTM:Last Year (Jul23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$485 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,193 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$890 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$5,688 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$28,467 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,587 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$123 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$351 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,439 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$9,188 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-268 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$395 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$482 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,801 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$902 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$7,111 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$30,118 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,306 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$164 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$420 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$4,218 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$9,416 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(484.909 / 2192.83) / (481.967 / 1800.51)
=0.221134 / 0.267684
=0.8261

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(901.992 / 1800.51) / (889.987 / 2192.83)
=0.500965 / 0.405862
=1.2343

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5687.643 + 2587.277) / 28466.883) / (1 - (7110.571 + 2305.788) / 30117.758)
=0.709314 / 0.687349
=1.032

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2192.83 / 1800.51
=1.2179

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(163.561 / (163.561 + 2305.788)) / (123.106 / (123.106 + 2587.277))
=0.066236 / 0.04542
=1.4583

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(350.693 / 2192.83) / (420.08 / 1800.51)
=0.159927 / 0.233312
=0.6855

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9187.958 + 2439.331) / 28466.883) / ((9416.276 + 4218.393) / 30117.758)
=0.40845 / 0.452712
=0.9022

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-267.663 - 0 - 394.71) / 28466.883
=-0.023268

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lai Fung Holdings has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lai Fung Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lai Fung Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
680 Cheung Sha Wan Road, 11th Floor, Lai Sun Commercial Centre, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Lai Fung Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. The company's operating segment includes Property development; Property investment; Hotel and serviced apartment operation and Theme park operation. It generates maximum revenue from the Property development segment. The property development segment engages in the development of properties for sale in Mainland China. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Lam Kin Ngok Peter
Yu Cheuk Yi 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Yu Siu Yuk 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Capitaland Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lai Sun Development Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lai Sun Garment (international) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Moerus Capital Management Llc 2102 Investment manager
Temasek Holdings (private) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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