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China Hongqiao Group (HKSE:01378) Beneish M-Score : -2.57 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is China Hongqiao Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01378' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.1
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Hongqiao Group was -1.10. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.49.


China Hongqiao Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Hongqiao Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China Hongqiao Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.51 -2.83 -2.19 -2.57

China Hongqiao Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.19 - -2.57 -

Competitive Comparison of China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Hongqiao Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Hongqiao Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Hongqiao Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0668+0.528 * 0.8831+0.404 * 1.3124+0.892 * 0.9938+0.115 * 1.0027
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8614+4.679 * -0.054621-0.327 * 0.9386
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$12,972 Mil.
Revenue was HK$146,155 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$22,920 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$95,591 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$219,106 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$77,992 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$7,860 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$6,243 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$80,971 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$16,088 Mil.
Net Income was HK$12,535 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$24,503 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$12,236 Mil.
Revenue was HK$147,071 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$20,368 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$97,788 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$207,421 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$76,795 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$7,762 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$7,294 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$79,703 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$18,189 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12971.577 / 146154.707) / (12235.522 / 147070.688)
=0.088752 / 0.083195
=1.0668

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20368.095 / 147070.688) / (22919.696 / 146154.707)
=0.138492 / 0.156818
=0.8831

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (95590.765 + 77992.083) / 219105.879) / (1 - (97788.128 + 76795.262) / 207420.592)
=0.207767 / 0.158312
=1.3124

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=146154.707 / 147070.688
=0.9938

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7762.35 / (7762.35 + 76795.262)) / (7859.933 / (7859.933 + 77992.083))
=0.0918 / 0.091552
=1.0027

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6243.453 / 146154.707) / (7293.753 / 147070.688)
=0.042718 / 0.049594
=0.8614

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16087.861 + 80971.495) / 219105.879) / ((18188.818 + 79703.418) / 207420.592)
=0.442979 / 0.47195
=0.9386

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12535.448 - 0 - 24503.165) / 219105.879
=-0.054621

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Hongqiao Group has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Hongqiao Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Hongqiao Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Huixian One Road, Zouping Economic Development District, Shandong Province, Zouping, CHN, 256200
China Hongqiao Group Ltd manufactures and sells aluminum products. Its products include molten aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy ingots, aluminum busbars, aluminum alloy processing products, and alumina products. The company has the manufacturing and sale of aluminum products segment. The company's geographical segments are China, India, Europe, Malaysia, and others, out of which China accounts for the majority of the revenue.
Executives
Zhang Bo
Citic Group Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citic Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Cti Capital Management Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
China Hongqiao Holdings Limited
Shiping Prosperity Private Trust Company
Zhang Hongxia
Zhang Yanhong
Zhang Shiping
Zheng Shuliang
Zhong Xin Xin Hui Guo Ji Zi Ben You Xian Gong Si

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