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YuanShengTai Dairy Farm (HKSE:01431) Beneish M-Score : -1.63 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.63 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01431' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.84   Max: -0.96
Current: -1.63

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of YuanShengTai Dairy Farm was -0.96. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.84.


YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Beneish M-Score Chart

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.67 -2.61 -3.36 -3.49 -1.63

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.36 - -3.49 - -1.63

Competitive Comparison of YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where YuanShengTai Dairy Farm's Beneish M-Score falls into.



YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of YuanShengTai Dairy Farm for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.6646+0.528 * 0.9331+0.404 * 1.0031+0.892 * 1.0349+0.115 * 0.8111
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9759+4.679 * -0.125494-0.327 * 1.2311
=-1.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$100 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,416 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$646 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,137 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$9,130 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,217 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$163 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$152 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,369 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,127 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-372 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$774 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$36 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,334 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$583 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,819 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$8,868 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,362 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$136 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$151 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,855 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$903 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(100.371 / 2415.699) / (36.399 / 2334.317)
=0.041549 / 0.015593
=2.6646

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(582.607 / 2334.317) / (646.138 / 2415.699)
=0.249583 / 0.267475
=0.9331

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2136.946 + 4217.305) / 9129.748) / (1 - (1818.883 + 4361.726) / 8868.178)
=0.304006 / 0.303058
=1.0031

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2415.699 / 2334.317
=1.0349

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(135.932 / (135.932 + 4361.726)) / (163.222 / (163.222 + 4217.305))
=0.030223 / 0.037261
=0.8111

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(152.379 / 2415.699) / (150.882 / 2334.317)
=0.063079 / 0.064636
=0.9759

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1126.655 + 2369.379) / 9129.748) / ((902.993 + 1855.334) / 8868.178)
=0.382928 / 0.311036
=1.2311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-371.556 - 0 - 774.177) / 9129.748
=-0.125494

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm has a M-score of -1.63 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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YuanShengTai Dairy Farm (HKSE:01431) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Qingxiang Street, Kedong County, Heilongjiang Province, Qiqihar, CHN
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Ltd is a China-based dairy farming company. Along with its subsidiaries, it principally engages in the production and sale of milk in the People's Republic of China. Its dairy farms are in Heilongjiang and Jilin province, which includes Gannan Oumei Farm, Kedong Oumei Farm, Kedong YST Farm, Zhenlai Farm Phase I, Kedong Yongjin Farm, Baiquan Ruixincheng Farm, and Keshan Farm. The group generates revenue from its operations mainly in Mainland China.
Executives
Leng Youbin 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China Feihe Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Garland Glory Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Harneys Trustees Limited 2301 Trustee
Lyb International Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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