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Qilu Expressway Co (HKSE:01576) Beneish M-Score : -0.72 (As of Apr. 16, 2025)


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What is Qilu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.72 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01576' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.21   Med: -1.84   Max: -0.72
Current: -0.72

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Qilu Expressway Co was -0.72. The lowest was -3.21. And the median was -1.84.


Qilu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Qilu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Qilu Expressway Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.23 -1.84 -0.92 -0.72 -

Qilu Expressway Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.92 - -0.72 - -

Competitive Comparison of Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Qilu Expressway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Qilu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Qilu Expressway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1941+0.528 * 2.7321+0.404 * 1.1435+0.892 * 1.8741+0.115 * 1.2323
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7353+4.679 * -0.030264-0.327 * 1.3013
=-0.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$1,357 Mil.
Revenue was HK$6,135 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$888 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,084 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$15,867 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$689 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$311 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$119 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,884 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7,245 Mil.
Net Income was HK$575 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$1,055 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$606 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,273 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,295 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,695 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$11,628 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$542 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$336 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$86 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$3,903 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1356.802 / 6134.819) / (606.289 / 3273.419)
=0.221164 / 0.185216
=1.1941

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1294.705 / 3273.419) / (888.131 / 6134.819)
=0.395521 / 0.144769
=2.7321

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2083.899 + 689.435) / 15867.485) / (1 - (2694.964 + 541.606) / 11627.861)
=0.825219 / 0.721654
=1.1435

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6134.819 / 3273.419
=1.8741

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(335.774 / (335.774 + 541.606)) / (310.561 / (310.561 + 689.435))
=0.382701 / 0.310562
=1.2323

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(118.864 / 6134.819) / (86.247 / 3273.419)
=0.019375 / 0.026348
=0.7353

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7245.202 + 1884.075) / 15867.485) / ((3903.439 + 1237.621) / 11627.861)
=0.575345 / 0.442133
=1.3013

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(574.518 - 0 - 1054.733) / 15867.485
=-0.030264

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Qilu Expressway Co has a M-score of -0.72 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Qilu Expressway Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Qilu Expressway Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 7000, Jingshi East Road, Zone 3, Hanyu Financial & Business Centre, Room 2301, Block 4, High-tech Zone, Shandong Province, Jinan, CHN
Qilu Expressway Co Ltd is an expressway operator in Shandong province with the concession rights to construct, maintain, operate and management of the Jihe Expressway, the Deshang Expressway and the Shennan Expressway. It has only one reportable segment, Expressway Business. Its operations are located in Mainland China.
Executives
Citic Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citic Group Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Prudential Plc
Zhong Xin Bao Cheng Ren Shou Bao Xian You Xian Gong Si
Zhong Guo Hai Yun Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Yuan Yang Hai Yun Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si
Zhong Yuan Hai Yun Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si
Shen Hua Guo Neng Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guo Neng Dian Li Ji Shu Gong Cheng You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Guo Jia Neng Yuan Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shan Dong Gao Su Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si
Shan Dong Gao Su Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhao Shang Ju Gong Lu Wang Luo Ke Ji Kong Gu Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Xin Sheng Rong You Xian Gong Si
Zhong Guo Zhong Xin Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si

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