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Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (HKSE:01812) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of Apr. 18, 2025)


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What is Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01812' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.61   Max: -1.47
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings was -1.47. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.61.


Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.73 -2.12 -2.47 -2.53

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.56 -2.65 -2.68 -2.53

Competitive Comparison of Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6616+0.528 * 3.1039+0.404 * 1.1164+0.892 * 0.8434+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2071+4.679 * -0.158865-0.327 * 1.1171
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$3,284 Mil.
Revenue was 3101.298 + 6540.227 + 7668.17 + 7345.328 = HK$24,655 Mil.
Gross Profit was -1241.844 + 53.458 + 928.659 + 908.795 = HK$649 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$16,966 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$67,807 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$34,929 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$450 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$46,809 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$5,126 Mil.
Net Income was -7154.135 + -813.392 + -31.812 + 63.218 = HK$-7,936 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 254.969 + 431.482 + 1635.708 + 513.922 = HK$2,836 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$5,886 Mil.
Revenue was 7532.542 + 7677.241 + 7010.091 + 7011.557 = HK$29,231 Mil.
Gross Profit was 854.367 + 336.548 + 460.333 + 737.348 = HK$2,389 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$31,245 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$86,941 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$37,422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$442 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$54,446 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$5,166 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3284.457 / 24655.023) / (5885.51 / 29231.431)
=0.133217 / 0.201342
=0.6616

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2388.596 / 29231.431) / (649.068 / 24655.023)
=0.081713 / 0.026326
=3.1039

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16966.352 + 34928.819) / 67807.1) / (1 - (31244.766 + 37422.202) / 86941.26)
=0.234665 / 0.210191
=1.1164

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24655.023 / 29231.431
=0.8434

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 37422.202)) / (0 / (0 + 34928.819))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(450.286 / 24655.023) / (442.264 / 29231.431)
=0.018263 / 0.01513
=1.2071

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5125.632 + 46809.236) / 67807.1) / ((5165.92 + 54445.848) / 86941.26)
=0.765921 / 0.685656
=1.1171

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-7936.121 - 0 - 2836.081) / 67807.1
=-0.158865

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 2199 Nongsheng East Road, Shandong Province, Shouguang, CHN, 262705
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd is a paper-making company. The Company is engaged in the processing and sale of paper products, paper-making raw materials, machinery, and chemicals; generation and sale of electric power and thermal power; forestry, saplings growing, processing and sale of timber and construction materials; manufacturing, processing and sale of wood products; and hotel service, and equipment financial and operating leasing, investment properties and property service, etc. Maximum revenue is derived from the sale of its paper products. The company's segments are Machine-made paper, Financial services, Hotels and properties, and other segments. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Shou Guang Chen Ming Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chen Ming Kong Gu Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner

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