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BAIC Motor (HKSE:01958) Beneish M-Score : -2.23 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is BAIC Motor Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01958' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -2.78   Max: -0.57
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BAIC Motor was -0.57. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -2.78.


BAIC Motor Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BAIC Motor Beneish M-Score Chart

BAIC Motor Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

BAIC Motor Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -2.23

Competitive Comparison of BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BAIC Motor's Beneish M-Score falls into.



BAIC Motor Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BAIC Motor for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.268+0.528 * 1.098+0.404 * 1.0008+0.892 * 1.018+0.115 * 0.9772
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9877+4.679 * -0.125759-0.327 * 0.9688
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$26,020 Mil.
Revenue was HK$216,513 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$43,828 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$88,477 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$184,546 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$51,502 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$9,657 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$18,543 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$83,623 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7,220 Mil.
Net Income was HK$3,315 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$26,523 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$20,158 Mil.
Revenue was HK$212,692 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$47,275 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$92,079 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$193,611 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$54,815 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$10,002 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$18,442 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$88,608 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$9,771 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(26019.794 / 216512.63) / (20158.277 / 212692.373)
=0.120177 / 0.094777
=1.268

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(47275.232 / 212692.373) / (43828.225 / 216512.63)
=0.22227 / 0.202428
=1.098

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (88476.647 + 51501.944) / 184545.822) / (1 - (92078.531 + 54815.132) / 193610.908)
=0.241497 / 0.241294
=1.0008

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=216512.63 / 212692.373
=1.018

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10001.823 / (10001.823 + 54815.132)) / (9657.486 / (9657.486 + 51501.944))
=0.154309 / 0.157907
=0.9772

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18542.886 / 216512.63) / (18442.239 / 212692.373)
=0.085643 / 0.086709
=0.9877

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7219.793 + 83623.182) / 184545.822) / ((9771.174 + 88608.288) / 193610.908)
=0.492252 / 0.50813
=0.9688

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3314.528 - 0 - 26522.892) / 184545.822
=-0.125759

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BAIC Motor has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


BAIC Motor Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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BAIC Motor Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 99 Shuanghe Street, A5-061, Unit 101, 5th Floor, Building No 1, Courtyard, Shunyi District, Beijing, CHN, 101300
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd is a provincial state-owned enterprise that manufactures passenger vehicles (PV) and automotive components. The majority of BAIC's revenue and operating profits come from joint ventures with Mercedes Benz and Hyundai. The firm also manufactures and sells its own vehicles under the Beijing Brand. The company has two reportable segments which are Oil-powered vehicles it involves manufacturing and sales of passenger vehicles of fuel, and providing other businesses and related services and New energy vehicles that also includes manufacturing and sales of passenger vehicles of new energy, and providing other business and related services.
Executives
Blackrock, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Daimler Ag

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