Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart
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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Annual Data
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Trend |
Dec14 |
Dec15 |
Dec16 |
Dec17 |
Dec18 |
Dec19 |
Dec20 |
Dec21 |
Dec22 |
Dec23 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-1.34 |
-1.98 |
-2.01 |
-1.91 |
-2.91 |
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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Quarterly Data
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Dec19 |
Mar20 |
Jun20 |
Sep20 |
Dec20 |
Mar21 |
Jun21 |
Sep21 |
Dec21 |
Mar22 |
Jun22 |
Sep22 |
Dec22 |
Mar23 |
Jun23 |
Sep23 |
Dec23 |
Mar24 |
Jun24 |
Sep24 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-2.35 |
-2.91 |
-2.91 |
-3.12 |
-2.49 |
Competitive Comparison of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score
For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Guangzhou Automobile Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.4228 | + | 0.528 * 1.0193 | + | 0.404 * 1.0206 | + | 0.892 * 0.8203 | + | 0.115 * 1 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.6262 | + | 4.679 * -0.015879 | - | 0.327 * 1.1225 |
| = | -2.45 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was HK$12,535 Mil.
Revenue was 31364.186 + 26578.369 + 23427.649 + 34480.463 = HK$115,851 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1862.348 + 1860.999 + 1858.072 + 2789.384 = HK$8,371 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$112,902 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$245,606 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$32,112 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$7,303 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$90,674 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$13,629 Mil.
Net Income was -1537.374 + 318.651 + 1325.67 + -89.586 = HK$17 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1818.295 + 9445.361 + -6669.09 + 2959.316 = HK$3,917 Mil.
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Total Receivables was HK$10,739 Mil.
Revenue was 38908.114 + 38669.826 + 30247.973 + 33395.253 = HK$141,221 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4051.739 + 2448.558 + 1356.085 + 2544.988 = HK$10,401 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$110,225 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$225,442 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$24,748 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$5,475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$73,751 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$11,542 Mil.
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1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (12535.229 / 115850.667) | / | (10739.317 / 141221.166) |
| = | 0.108202 | / | 0.076046 |
| | = | 1.4228 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (10401.37 / 141221.166) | / | (8370.803 / 115850.667) |
| = | 0.073653 | / | 0.072255 |
| | = | 1.0193 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (112901.853 + 32112.172) / 245605.678) | / | (1 - (110225.339 + 24748.391) / 225441.616) |
| = | 0.409566 | / | 0.401292 |
| | = | 1.0206 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 115850.667 | / | 141221.166 |
| | = | 0.8203 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0 / (0 + 24748.391)) | / | (0 / (0 + 32112.172)) |
| = | 0 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (7303.298 / 115850.667) | / | (5474.766 / 141221.166) |
| = | 0.063041 | / | 0.038767 |
| | = | 1.6262 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((13629.194 + 90673.628) / 245605.678) | / | ((11542.091 + 73750.653) / 225441.616) |
| = | 0.424676 | / | 0.378336 |
| | = | 1.1225 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (17.361 - 0 | - | 3917.292) | / | 245605.678 |
| | = | -0.015879 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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