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Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co (HKSE:02281) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02281' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.95   Med: -2.02   Max: -1.39
Current: -2.65

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co was -1.39. The lowest was -2.95. And the median was -2.02.


Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -1.39 -1.95 -2.74 -2.65

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.74 - -2.65 -

Competitive Comparison of Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0955+0.528 * 1.0568+0.404 * 1.0453+0.892 * 0.931+0.115 * 0.9445
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.009+4.679 * -0.056598-0.327 * 0.9104
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$755 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,407 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$486 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,427 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$7,716 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,352 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$362 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,641 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,603 Mil.
Net Income was HK$230 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$666 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$741 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,511 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$552 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,663 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$7,974 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$4,396 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$344 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,421 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,261 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(755.489 / 1407.074) / (740.725 / 1511.383)
=0.536922 / 0.490097
=1.0955

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(551.675 / 1511.383) / (486.002 / 1407.074)
=0.365013 / 0.345399
=1.0568

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1426.861 + 4352.413) / 7716.376) / (1 - (1662.985 + 4395.885) / 7973.977)
=0.251038 / 0.24017
=1.0453

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1407.074 / 1511.383
=0.931

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(343.709 / (343.709 + 4395.885)) / (361.977 / (361.977 + 4352.413))
=0.072519 / 0.076781
=0.9445

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7.771 / 1407.074) / (8.273 / 1511.383)
=0.005523 / 0.005474
=1.009

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1602.719 + 1641.392) / 7716.376) / ((2261.034 + 1421.38) / 7973.977)
=0.420419 / 0.461804
=0.9104

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(229.585 - 0 - 666.318) / 7716.376
=-0.056598

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 16, Baizi Road, Jiangyang District, Sichuan Province, Luzhou, CHN
Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Ltd is a China-based company engages in the provision of integrated municipal water-related public utility services. The company is engaged in the provision of tap water supply and related installation and maintenance service, wastewater treatment service and construction service. It operates through two main segments the Tap Water Supply and Wastewater Treatment segments. The company derives maximum revenue from Tap Water Supply segment. Geographically, it operates in People's Republic of China.
Executives
Hwabao Trust Co., Ltd 2301 Trustee
Fei Zhanbo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xin Tian Zhi Neng Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Xin Tian Ke Ji Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Luzhou Xinglu Water (Group) Co Headlines

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