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Holly Futures Co (HKSE:03678) Beneish M-Score : -2.22 (As of Mar. 29, 2025)


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What is Holly Futures Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03678' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.22   Med: -2.22   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.22

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Holly Futures Co was -2.22. The lowest was -2.22. And the median was -2.22.


Holly Futures Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Holly Futures Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Holly Futures Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Holly Futures Co Quarterly Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.22 -

Competitive Comparison of Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Holly Futures Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Holly Futures Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Holly Futures Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4605+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.3533+0.892 * 2.568+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.512+4.679 * -0.181662-0.327 * 1.0614
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$4,755 Mil.
Revenue was 899.184 + 199.202 + 903.434 + 199.272 = HK$2,201 Mil.
Gross Profit was 899.184 + 199.202 + 903.434 + 199.272 = HK$2,201 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$13,295 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$13,806 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$357 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$15 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11,259 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$310 Mil.
Net Income was 28.063 + -14.412 + 7.526 + -6.668 = HK$15 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 676.616 + 1845.938 + 0 + 0 = HK$2,523 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$4,021 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 583.945 + 273.182 + 0 = HK$857 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 583.945 + 273.182 + 0 = HK$857 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$10,053 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$10,519 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$379 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$11 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$8,176 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$128 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4755.187 / 2201.092) / (4021.389 / 857.127)
=2.160376 / 4.691707
=0.4605

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(857.127 / 857.127) / (2201.092 / 2201.092)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13295.265 + 356.831) / 13806.11) / (1 - (10052.72 + 379.312) / 10518.741)
=0.011155 / 0.008243
=1.3533

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2201.092 / 857.127
=2.568

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 379.312)) / (0 / (0 + 356.831))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.692 / 2201.092) / (11.174 / 857.127)
=0.006675 / 0.013037
=0.512

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((309.567 + 11259.005) / 13806.11) / ((128.188 + 8176.228) / 10518.741)
=0.837931 / 0.789488
=1.0614

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14.509 - 0 - 2522.554) / 13806.11
=-0.181662

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Holly Futures Co has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Holly Futures Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Holly Futures Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Jiang Dong Zhong Road, Building 3, No. 399, Jianye District, Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, CHN, 210019
Holly Futures Co Ltd is engaged in futures brokerage and asset management businesses. The company operates through two segments. The Futures Brokerage and Asset Management segment is engaged in the trading of commodity futures and financial futures on behalf of clients and the development and sales of asset management products and services. This segment is also involved in the investment in asset management plans, bank wealth management products, listed and unlisted securities, trust schemes, funds, and derivative financial instruments. The Commodity Trading and Risk Management segment is engaged in the provision of purchase and resale of commodities, futures arbitrage, variation basis trading, and hedging. The company has operations in Mainland China and Hong Kong.
Executives
Jpmorgan Chase & Co. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jiang Su Sheng Su Hao Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Shan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Huang Jieping 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Tai He Yi Tian Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Shan Yi Gao Tou Zi Fa Zhan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shen Zhen Chang Hong Tou Zi He Huo Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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