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Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (HKSE:06911) Beneish M-Score : -1.44 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)


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What is Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.44 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06911' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.25   Med: -1.85   Max: -1.44
Current: -1.44

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co was -1.44. The lowest was -2.25. And the median was -1.85.


Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.25 -1.44

Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -2.25 - -1.44

Competitive Comparison of Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.9016+0.528 * 0.984+0.404 * 0.8616+0.892 * 1.1159+0.115 * 0.7319
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0271+4.679 * 0.035846-0.327 * 0.8747
=-1.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$84.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$576.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$386.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,325.4 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,780.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$291.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$65.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$274.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$421.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$242.6 Mil.
Net Income was HK$87.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$23.8 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$40.0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$516.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$340.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,058.4 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,575.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$349.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$54.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$239.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$431.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$240.2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(84.934 / 576.799) / (40.025 / 516.893)
=0.147251 / 0.077434
=1.9016

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(340.595 / 516.893) / (386.233 / 576.799)
=0.658927 / 0.669615
=0.984

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1325.4 + 291.758) / 1780.646) / (1 - (1058.392 + 349.277) / 1575.574)
=0.091814 / 0.106568
=0.8616

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=576.799 / 516.893
=1.1159

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(54.443 / (54.443 + 349.277)) / (65.9 / (65.9 + 291.758))
=0.134853 / 0.184254
=0.7319

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(274.747 / 576.799) / (239.706 / 516.893)
=0.476331 / 0.463744
=1.0271

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((242.577 + 421.493) / 1780.646) / ((240.154 + 431.645) / 1575.574)
=0.372938 / 0.426384
=0.8747

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(87.59 - 0 - 23.761) / 1780.646
=0.035846

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co has a M-score of -1.44 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co (HKSE:06911) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Pingzhang Road, West Suburb Hot Spring Community, Lancang Lahu Ethnic Autonomous County, Yunnan Province, Menglang Town, Puer, CHN
Pu`er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Ltd is principally engaged in the development, manufacturing and sales of tea products, primarily Pu'er tea products in China.
Executives
China Credit Trust Co., Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Harvest Fund Management Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lan Cang Lv Se Zi Yuan Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Lan Cang Xian Guo You Zi Chan Jing Ying You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lan Cang Xian Tou Zi Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sheng Song Lan Cang Sheng Shi Cha Xiang Yi Hao Si Mu Zheng Quan Tou Zi Ji Jin 2101 Beneficial owner
Dong Xing An Xin Hao Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan Li Ji Hua 2301 Trustee
Wang Chen 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhang Liang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Hai Jing Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Wang Chunyu 2101 Beneficial owner

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