TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536) Beneish M-Score: -1.25 (As of Aug. 16, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:08536 TL Natural Gas Holdings Ltd HKSE:08536
50 GF Score
Price HK$0.24
GF Value HK$0.29
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score?

TL Natural Gas Holdings HKSE:08536 50 Beneish M-Score is -1.25 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:08536 with a GF Score™ of 50/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.29 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 832 Oil & Gas companies, TL Natural Gas Holdings ranks worse than 89.18% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.25 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08536' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.7   Med: -3.47   Max: -0.5
Current: -1.25

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TL Natural Gas Holdings was -0.50. The lowest was -6.70. And the median was -3.47.


TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

TL Natural Gas Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.65 -3.99 -2.89 -3.47 -1.25

TL Natural Gas Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 0.00 -3.47 0.00 -1.25

HKSE:08536 vs CASY, WSM, ULTA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:08536
50GF Score
TL Natural Gas Holdings Ltd HKSE:08536
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TL Natural Gas Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1452+0.528 * 1.0307+0.404 * 4.8382+0.892 * 0.9306+0.115 * 0.9139
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.999+4.679 * -0.076098-0.327 * 1.1311
=-1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$10.45 Mil.
Revenue was HK$95.66 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$7.82 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$48.35 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$66.68 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$18.02 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3.39 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$14.93 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$10.14 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.65 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-8.56 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-3.48 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$9.80 Mil.
Revenue was HK$102.80 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8.67 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$45.06 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$66.41 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$21.29 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3.60 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$16.06 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$8.89 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.62 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10.447 / 95.663) / (9.803 / 102.8)
=0.109206 / 0.09536
=1.1452

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8.665 / 102.8) / (7.823 / 95.663)
=0.08429 / 0.081777
=1.0307

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (48.346 + 18.02) / 66.677) / (1 - (45.06 + 21.286) / 66.41)
=0.004664 / 0.000964
=4.8382

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=95.663 / 102.8
=0.9306

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.597 / (3.597 + 21.286)) / (3.386 / (3.386 + 18.02))
=0.144557 / 0.15818
=0.9139

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.927 / 95.663) / (16.056 / 102.8)
=0.156037 / 0.156187
=0.999

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.652 + 10.142) / 66.677) / ((0.618 + 8.887) / 66.41)
=0.161885 / 0.143126
=1.1311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-8.556 - 0 - -3.482) / 66.677
=-0.076098

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TL Natural Gas Holdings has a M-score of -1.25 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.25 mean?
TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.25 as of Aug. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TL Natural Gas Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, TL Natural Gas Holdings ranks #742 out of 832 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 89.2%.
Is TL Natural Gas Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
TL Natural Gas Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -1.25. Based on the distribution chart, TL Natural Gas Holdings ranks #742 out of 832 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, TL Natural Gas Holdings has a GF Score™ of 50/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TL Natural Gas Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to CASY and WSM?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, TL Natural Gas Holdings ranks #742 out of 832 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places TL Natural Gas Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on TL Natural Gas Holdings and its competitors. TL Natural Gas Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -1.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TL Natural Gas Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.29, compared to a current price of HK$0.24 — trading 16.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.25. TL Natural Gas Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 50/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.25 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TL Natural Gas Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.24 is trading 16.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.29. GuruFocus considers TL Natural Gas Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:08536:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.25
  • GF Value™: HK$0.29 vs. price of HK$0.24 (16.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 50/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:08536 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TL Natural Gas Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Dong Fang Road, Jingzhou Primary Station, Economic Development Zone, Hubei Province, Jingzhou, CHN
TL Natural Gas Holdings Ltd is engaged in the sale of natural gas, including compressed natural gas and liquefied natural gas, and the provision of transmission services for natural gas. The group has two reportable segments: Sales of natural gas and Others. The Others segment includes automated car wash and fast food catering services. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Sales of natural gas segment.
50GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:08536

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.24
Price
HK$0.29
GF Value