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TL Natural Gas Holdings (HKSE:08536) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:08536' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.7   Med: -1.28   Max: 12.72
Current: -2.89

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TL Natural Gas Holdings was 12.72. The lowest was -6.70. And the median was -1.28.


TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

TL Natural Gas Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.14 -6.70 -4.65 -3.99 -2.89

TL Natural Gas Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.89 -

Competitive Comparison of TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TL Natural Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TL Natural Gas Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3864+0.528 * 2.5063+0.404 * 0.3872+0.892 * 1.1296+0.115 * 0.7793
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.716+4.679 * -0.308357-0.327 * 1.0282
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$12.44 Mil.
Revenue was HK$85.26 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$8.19 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$48.33 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$75.65 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$26.73 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4.82 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$14.91 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$9.91 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$0.89 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-25.18 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-1.86 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$7.94 Mil.
Revenue was HK$75.48 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$18.17 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$56.10 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$106.44 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$48.21 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6.51 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$18.44 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$11.59 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$3.20 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12.436 / 85.262) / (7.941 / 75.48)
=0.145856 / 0.105207
=1.3864

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18.169 / 75.48) / (8.189 / 85.262)
=0.240713 / 0.096045
=2.5063

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (48.332 + 26.726) / 75.646) / (1 - (56.096 + 48.209) / 106.442)
=0.007773 / 0.020077
=0.3872

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=85.262 / 75.48
=1.1296

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6.51 / (6.51 + 48.209)) / (4.815 / (4.815 + 26.726))
=0.118971 / 0.152658
=0.7793

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.91 / 85.262) / (18.435 / 75.48)
=0.174873 / 0.244237
=0.716

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.888 + 9.913) / 75.646) / ((3.196 + 11.585) / 106.442)
=0.142783 / 0.138864
=1.0282

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-25.183 - 0 - -1.857) / 75.646
=-0.308357

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TL Natural Gas Holdings has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


TL Natural Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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TL Natural Gas Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Dong Fang Road, Jingzhou Primary Station, Economic Development Zone, Hubei Province, Jingzhou, CHN
TL Natural Gas Holdings Ltd is engaged in the sale of compressed natural gas and automated car wash service. The company operates in four different segments the sale of natural gas; the automated car wash service; the provision of digital marketing service and the provision of fast food catering service. The company derives revenue from the sale of compressed natural gas. The revenue comes from the distribution of CNG to retail customers mainly vehicle end users and wholesale customers town gas companies, gas station operators, and industrial users.
Executives
Hongsheng Enterprise Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Liu Yongcheng 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Liu Yongqiang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Yongsheng Enterprise Limited 2103 Interests held jointly with another person
Yu Ting Hin 2101 Beneficial owner
Lee Kwok Wah 2101 Beneficial owner
Stable Development Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Yu Kin Wai Perway 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fai Wai Lap Felip 2101 Beneficial owner

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