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NIO (HKSE:09866) Beneish M-Score : -2.88 (As of Apr. 02, 2025)


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What is NIO Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NIO's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09866' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.96   Med: -2.47   Max: 156.96
Current: -2.88

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NIO was 156.96. The lowest was -5.96. And the median was -2.47.


NIO Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NIO's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NIO Beneish M-Score Chart

NIO Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -3.71 -1.57 -2.32 -2.88 -

NIO Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 - - - -

Competitive Comparison of NIO's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, NIO's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NIO's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, NIO's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NIO's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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NIO Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NIO for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.015+0.528 * 1.9028+0.404 * 0.5743+0.892 * 1.1057+0.115 * 1.254
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.089+4.679 * -0.171704-0.327 * 1.049
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$9,843 Mil.
Revenue was HK$60,834 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$3,338 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$76,980 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$128,391 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$40,995 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$5,368 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$13,068 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$63,218 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$25,305 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-23,130 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$426 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-1,511 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$8,771 Mil.
Revenue was HK$55,019 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$5,744 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$66,053 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$107,499 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$26,261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4,460 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$10,853 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$51,204 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$19,450 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9843.171 / 60833.721) / (8771.153 / 55018.927)
=0.161805 / 0.159421
=1.015

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5744.373 / 55018.927) / (3337.99 / 60833.721)
=0.104407 / 0.054871
=1.9028

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (76980.413 + 40995.219) / 128391.268) / (1 - (66053.399 + 26260.749) / 107499.342)
=0.081124 / 0.141258
=0.5743

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=60833.721 / 55018.927
=1.1057

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4460.22 / (4460.22 + 26260.749)) / (5367.655 / (5367.655 + 40995.219))
=0.145185 / 0.115775
=1.254

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(13068.192 / 60833.721) / (10853.32 / 55018.927)
=0.214818 / 0.197265
=1.089

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((25304.674 + 63218.359) / 128391.268) / ((19450.213 + 51203.664) / 107499.342)
=0.689479 / 0.657249
=1.049

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-23130.106 - 426.331 - -1511.106) / 128391.268
=-0.171704

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NIO has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NIO Business Description

Address
No. 1355, Caobao Road, Building 19, Minhang District, Shanghai, CHN
Nio is a leading electric vehicle maker, targeting the premium segment. Founded in November 2014, Nio designs, develops, jointly manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. The company differentiates itself through continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations such as battery swapping and autonomous driving technologies. Nio launched its first model, its ES8 seven-seater electric SUV, in December 2017, and began deliveries in June 2018. Its current model portfolio includes midsize to large sedans and SUVs. It sold over 160,000 EVs in 2023, accounting for about 2% of the China passenger new energy vehicle market.

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