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HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) Beneish M-Score

: -2.99 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for HubSpot's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HUBS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.52   Med: -2.8   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.99

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of HubSpot was -2.02. The lowest was -3.52. And the median was -2.80.


HubSpot Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for HubSpot's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HubSpot Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.09 -2.40 -2.69 -2.40 -2.88

HubSpot Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.92 -2.88 -2.94 -2.99

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, HubSpot's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

HubSpot Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, HubSpot's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HubSpot's Beneish M-Score falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Beneish M-Score's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



HubSpot Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of HubSpot for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9774+0.528 * 0.9741+0.404 * 1.0066+0.892 * 1.2743+0.115 * 0.8151
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9962+4.679 * -0.150809-0.327 * 0.9762
=-2.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $207 Mil.
Revenue was 529.138 + 501.62 + 469.656 + 443.958 = $1,944 Mil.
Gross Profit was 441.852 + 419.574 + 389.395 + 361.831 = $1,613 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,908 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,729 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $367 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $64 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,201 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $847 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $769 Mil.
Net Income was -118.946 + -38.282 + -15.636 + -31.411 = $-204 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -63.55 + -29.364 + -6.246 + -1.185 = $-100 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 76.543 + 81.07 + 89.965 + 60.063 = $308 Mil.
Total Receivables was $166 Mil.
Revenue was 421.755 + 395.599 + 369.309 + 339.195 = $1,526 Mil.
Gross Profit was 342.824 + 322.663 + 297.67 + 269.589 = $1,233 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,532 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,274 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $366 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $50 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $662 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $717 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(206.697 / 1944.372) / (165.95 / 1525.858)
=0.106305 / 0.108758
=0.9774

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1232.746 / 1525.858) / (1612.652 / 1944.372)
=0.807903 / 0.829395
=0.9741

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1907.845 + 366.986) / 2729.095) / (1 - (1531.779 + 366.158) / 2273.959)
=0.166452 / 0.16536
=1.0066

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1944.372 / 1525.858
=1.2743

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(50.486 / (50.486 + 366.158)) / (64.086 / (64.086 + 366.986))
=0.121173 / 0.148667
=0.8151

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1201.154 / 1944.372) / (946.195 / 1525.858)
=0.617759 / 0.620107
=0.9962

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((768.839 + 847.455) / 2729.095) / ((717.466 + 662.162) / 2273.959)
=0.592245 / 0.606708
=0.9762

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-204.275 - -100.345 - 307.641) / 2729.095
=-0.150809

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

HubSpot has a M-score of -2.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


HubSpot Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of HubSpot's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) Business Description

HubSpot logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
25 First Street, 2nd Floor, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02141
HubSpot provides a cloud-based marketing, sales, and customer service software platform referred to as the growth platform. The applications are available ala carte or packaged together. HubSpot's mission is to help companies grow better and has expanded from its initial focus on inbound marketing to embrace marketing, sales, and service more broadly. The company was founded in 2006, completed its initial public offering in 2014, and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Executives
Andrew Anagnost director 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, AUTODESK, INC., SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Dawson Alyssa Harvey officer: Chief Legal Officer 1100 PAGE MILL RD, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1974
Claire D'oyly-hughes Johnson director C/O AMERESCO, INC., 111 SPEEN STREET, STE. 401, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701-3812
Nick V. Caldwell director C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Yamini Rangan officer: Chief Customer Officer 333 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kathryn Bueker officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Avanish Sahai director C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Jill A Ward director C/O FLEETMATICS, 1100 WINTER STREET, SUITE 4600, WALTHAM MA 02451
Jay Simons director 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Julia Herendeen director 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
John Kinzer officer: Chief Financial Officer 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Brian Halligan director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O HUBSPOT, 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Hunter Madeley officer: SVP, Global Sales 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
John P. Kelleher officer: General Counsel 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Dharmesh Shah director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141