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Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB) Beneish M-Score : -1.93 (As of Mar. 02, 2025)


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What is Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.93 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ERCB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.93   Med: -1.39   Max: -1.14
Current: -1.93

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Erciyas Celik Borunayi was -1.14. The lowest was -1.93. And the median was -1.39.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Chart

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -1.41

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.14 -1.21 -1.41 -1.48 -1.93

Competitive Comparison of Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Erciyas Celik Borunayi for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2697+0.528 * 0.8786+0.404 * 0.5462+0.892 * 1.2223+0.115 * 0.6747
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1352+4.679 * 0.087184-0.327 * 0.9942
=-1.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺6,124 Mil.
Revenue was 1908.544 + 1712.038 + 1855.658 + 2161.307 = ₺7,638 Mil.
Gross Profit was 382.127 + 355.148 + 371.883 + 381.245 = ₺1,490 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺7,575 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺11,439 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺3,552 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺244 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺942 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺6,450 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺699 Mil.
Net Income was 17.166 + 33.426 + 69.466 + -15.561 = ₺104 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -166.96 + -306.11 + -53.731 + -365.964 = ₺-893 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺3,946 Mil.
Revenue was 2606.253 + 1639.447 + 1012.461 + 990.495 = ₺6,249 Mil.
Gross Profit was 391.099 + 315.356 + 126.966 + 237.896 = ₺1,071 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺5,083 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺8,203 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺2,711 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺123 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺679 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺4,649 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺508 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6123.875 / 7637.547) / (3946.056 / 6248.656)
=0.801812 / 0.631505
=1.2697

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1071.317 / 6248.656) / (1490.403 / 7637.547)
=0.171448 / 0.195142
=0.8786

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7575.34 + 3551.663) / 11438.618) / (1 - (5082.887 + 2711.065) / 8203.056)
=0.027242 / 0.049872
=0.5462

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7637.547 / 6248.656
=1.2223

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(123.038 / (123.038 + 2711.065)) / (244.241 / (244.241 + 3551.663))
=0.043413 / 0.064343
=0.6747

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(941.729 / 7637.547) / (678.698 / 6248.656)
=0.123303 / 0.108615
=1.1352

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((699.092 + 6450.195) / 11438.618) / ((508.223 + 4648.914) / 8203.056)
=0.625013 / 0.628685
=0.9942

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(104.497 - 0 - -892.765) / 11438.618
=0.087184

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Erciyas Celik Borunayi has a M-score of -1.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Erciyas Celik Borunayi Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Palladium Tower Barbaros M. Halk Cd. Kardelen, Sk. No:2/1 Kat:25-26 34746 Atasehir, Istanbul, TUR
Erciyas Celik Boru Sanayi is engaged in manufacturing all kinds of iron and steel products, longitudinally welded and spirally welded pipes, all kinds of pipe internal/external bitumen, epoxy concrete, PE coating, paint, and insulation.

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