Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


IST:ERCB Erciyas Celik Boru Sanayi IST:ERCB
24 GF Score
Price ₺49.76
GF Value ₺91.64
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score?

Erciyas Celik Borunayi IST:ERCB +2.01% 24 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:ERCB with a GF Score™ of 24/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺91.64 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, Erciyas Celik Borunayi ranks better than 58.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ERCB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -1.89   Max: -0.45
Current: -2.61

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Erciyas Celik Borunayi was -0.45. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -1.89.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Chart

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 -0.45 -1.37 -2.20 -2.36

Erciyas Celik Borunayi Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -2.83 -2.85 -2.36 -2.61

IST:ERCB vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:ERCB
24GF Score
Erciyas Celik Boru Sanayi IST:ERCB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Erciyas Celik Borunayi Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Erciyas Celik Borunayi for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9581+0.528 * 0.8117+0.404 * 0.5586+0.892 * 0.9721+0.115 * 1.7867
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3909+4.679 * 0.026665-0.327 * 0.8044
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺7,466 Mil.
Revenue was 990.771 + 1529.834 + 1982.233 + 2203.357 = ₺6,706 Mil.
Gross Profit was 203.37 + 160.487 + 561.516 + 515.702 = ₺1,441 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺9,274 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺18,236 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺8,478 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺334 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺1,084 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺5,334 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺4,080 Mil.
Net Income was 132.211 + -323.266 + 3.079 + -17.116 = ₺-205 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -249.353 + -701.191 + -0.089 + 259.283 = ₺-691 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺8,016 Mil.
Revenue was 1361.113 + 2059.068 + 1569.598 + 1908.544 = ₺6,898 Mil.
Gross Profit was 262.812 + 411.401 + 146.825 + 382.127 = ₺1,203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺9,806 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺14,137 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺3,662 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺266 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺802 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺8,347 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺727 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7465.937 / 6706.195) / (8015.554 / 6898.323)
=1.11329 / 1.161957
=0.9581

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1203.165 / 6898.323) / (1441.075 / 6706.195)
=0.174414 / 0.214887
=0.8117

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9274.475 + 8478.325) / 18235.553) / (1 - (9805.77 + 3661.582) / 14137.341)
=0.026473 / 0.047391
=0.5586

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6706.195 / 6898.323
=0.9721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(266.369 / (266.369 + 3661.582)) / (334.492 / (334.492 + 8478.325))
=0.067814 / 0.037955
=1.7867

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1083.992 / 6706.195) / (801.654 / 6898.323)
=0.16164 / 0.11621
=1.3909

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4080.213 + 5334.115) / 18235.553) / ((726.78 + 8346.893) / 14137.341)
=0.516262 / 0.641823
=0.8044

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-205.092 - 0 - -691.35) / 18235.553
=0.026665

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Erciyas Celik Borunayi has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Erciyas Celik Borunayi and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Erciyas Celik Borunayi ranks #245 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 41.7%.
Is Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score too high?
Erciyas Celik Borunayi's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Erciyas Celik Borunayi ranks #245 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Erciyas Celik Borunayi has a GF Score™ of 24/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Erciyas Celik Borunayi's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Erciyas Celik Borunayi ranks #245 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Erciyas Celik Borunayi in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Erciyas Celik Borunayi and its competitors. Erciyas Celik Borunayi's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Erciyas Celik Borunayi stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺91.64, compared to a current price of ₺49.76 — trading 45.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Erciyas Celik Borunayi's overall GF Score™ is 24/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Erciyas Celik Borunayi (IST:ERCB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erciyas Celik Borunayi stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₺49.76 is trading 45.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₺91.64. GuruFocus considers Erciyas Celik Borunayi to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for IST:ERCB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: ₺91.64 vs. price of ₺49.76 (45.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 24/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:ERCB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Erciyas Celik Borunayi Business Description

Address Palladium Tower Barbaros M. Halk Cd. Kardelen, Sk. No:2/1 Kat:25-26 34746 Atasehir, Istanbul, TUR
Erciyas Celik Boru Sanayi is engaged in manufacturing all kinds of iron and steel products, longitudinally welded and spirally welded pipes, all kinds of pipe internal/external bitumen, epoxy concrete, PE coating, paint, and insulation.
24GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:ERCB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺49.76
Price
₺91.64
GF Value