PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


ISX:BAJA PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk ISX:BAJA
55 GF Score
Price Rp152.00
GF Value Rp115.55
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk ISX:BAJA -4.40% 55 Beneish M-Score is -2.93 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:BAJA with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp115.55 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 592 Steel companies, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk ranks better than 77.7% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.93 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:BAJA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.08   Med: -3.31   Max: 11.37
Current: -2.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk was 11.37. The lowest was -6.08. And the median was -3.31.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.50 -1.96 -4.36 -3.02 -3.20

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.03 -3.54 -3.40 -3.20 -2.93

ISX:BAJA vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:BAJA
55GF Score
PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk ISX:BAJA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2124+0.528 * 0.9889+0.404 * 0.7815+0.892 * 1.1523+0.115 * 0.5584
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3561+4.679 * -0.120366-0.327 * 1.0422
=-2.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp176,936 Mil.
Revenue was 250114.22 + 251808.42 + 230781.694 + 161232.456 = Rp893,937 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5012.098 + 7656.435 + 7870.635 + 1829.774 = Rp22,369 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp521,755 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp670,803 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp103,992 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp1,001 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp6,564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp651,346 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp397 Mil.
Net Income was -10527.746 + -10547.674 + -9340.262 + 3217.067 = Rp-27,199 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -3804.018 + 18651.346 + -4258.1 + 42953.904 = Rp53,543 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp126,648 Mil.
Revenue was 180394.026 + 231723.789 + 206910.586 + 156746.853 = Rp775,775 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7151.982 + 9632.778 + 3352.288 + -939.941 = Rp19,197 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp504,830 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp674,253 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp111,474 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp597 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp4,200 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp289,375 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp339,211 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(176936.143 / 893936.79) / (126647.703 / 775775.254)
=0.197929 / 0.163253
=1.2124

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(19197.107 / 775775.254) / (22368.942 / 893936.79)
=0.024746 / 0.025023
=0.9889

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (521755.317 + 103991.913) / 670803.368) / (1 - (504830.463 + 111474.475) / 674252.569)
=0.067167 / 0.085944
=0.7815

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=893936.79 / 775775.254
=1.1523

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(596.569 / (596.569 + 111474.475)) / (1000.824 / (1000.824 + 103991.913))
=0.005323 / 0.009532
=0.5584

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6563.504 / 893936.79) / (4200.289 / 775775.254)
=0.007342 / 0.005414
=1.3561

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((396.523 + 651345.63) / 670803.368) / ((339211.229 + 289374.805) / 674252.569)
=0.971584 / 0.932271
=1.0422

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-27198.615 - 0 - 53543.132) / 670803.368
=-0.120366

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a M-score of -2.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.93 mean?
PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.93 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk ranks #132 out of 592 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 22.3%.
Is PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. Based on the distribution chart, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk ranks #132 out of 592 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk ranks #132 out of 592 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk in the top 22% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk and its competitors. PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp115.55, compared to a current price of Rp152.00 — trading 31.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.93 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Rp152.00 is trading 31.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of Rp115.55. GuruFocus considers PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:BAJA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.93
  • GF Value™: Rp115.55 vs. price of Rp152.00 (31.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:BAJA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Pangeran Jayakarta No. 55, Gedung Baja Tower B, Lantai 6, Mangga Dua Selatan, Sawah Besar, Jakarta Pusat, Jakarta, IDN, 10730
PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk is involved in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Indonesia. The company manufactures three types of coated steel products, namely, galvanized steel, Saranalume aluminum-zinc-coated steel, and Sarancolor painted zinc-coated steel. The company's products are used in various applications, including building, electrical machinery, and motor vehicles. The company has four reportable segments, including galvanized, saranalume, coloring, and non-production. The company derives the majority of its revenue from the Saranalume segment.
55GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp152.00
Price
Rp115.55
GF Value