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PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) Beneish M-Score : -4.26 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.26 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:BAJA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.88   Med: -3.3   Max: 11.14
Current: -4.26

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk was 11.14. The lowest was -5.88. And the median was -3.30.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.79 -3.67 -3.35 -2.01 -4.70

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.79 -3.97 3.34 -4.70 -4.26

Competitive Comparison of PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0365+0.528 * -2.0661+0.404 * 1.2875+0.892 * 0.7732+0.115 * 1.0153
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3776+4.679 * -0.011443-0.327 * 0.9805
=-4.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp141,604 Mil.
Revenue was 192880.778 + 231594.667 + 215100.979 + 194577.619 = Rp834,154 Mil.
Gross Profit was -2374.19 + 9495.168 + -995.963 + 5804.811 = Rp11,930 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp489,528 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp664,187 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp133,350 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp761 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp3,811 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp239,765 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp15 Mil.
Net Income was -20589.524 + 11228.523 + -18258.468 + -2653.492 = Rp-30,273 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -49552.354 + 9652.224 + 19013.252 + -1785.465 = Rp-22,672 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp176,682 Mil.
Revenue was 309180.941 + 263053.367 + 214246.756 + 292343.391 = Rp1,078,824 Mil.
Gross Profit was -2360.49 + -4915.604 + -26246.463 + 1644.251 = Rp-31,878 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp505,669 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp690,225 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp151,213 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp876 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp3,578 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp254,027 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp102 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(141604.457 / 834154.043) / (176682.386 / 1078824.455)
=0.169758 / 0.163773
=1.0365

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-31878.306 / 1078824.455) / (11929.826 / 834154.043)
=-0.029549 / 0.014302
=-2.0661

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (489528.414 + 133349.519) / 664187.148) / (1 - (505669.104 + 151213.219) / 690225.203)
=0.062195 / 0.048307
=1.2875

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=834154.043 / 1078824.455
=0.7732

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(876.265 / (876.265 + 151213.219)) / (761.038 / (761.038 + 133349.519))
=0.005762 / 0.005675
=1.0153

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3810.592 / 834154.043) / (3577.739 / 1078824.455)
=0.004568 / 0.003316
=1.3776

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15.227 + 239764.775) / 664187.148) / ((102.15 + 254026.616) / 690225.203)
=0.361013 / 0.368182
=0.9805

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-30272.961 - 0 - -22672.343) / 664187.148
=-0.011443

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a M-score of -4.26 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jl. Pangeran Jayakarta No. 55, Gedung BAJA, Tower B Lantai 6, Unit B 06-01, Jakarta Pusat, IDN, 10730
PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk is an Indonesia-based company involved in the manufacture and sale of steel products in Indonesia. The company manufactures three types of coated steel products, namely, galvanized steel, "Saranalume" aluminum zinc-coated Steel, and "Sarancolor" painted zinc-coated steel. The company's products are used in various applications, including building, electrical machinery, and motor vehicles. The company has four reportable segments including galvanized, saranalume, coloring, and non-production. The company derives the majority of its revenue from the Saranalume segment.

PTranacentral Bajatama Tbk (ISX:BAJA) Headlines

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