PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (ISX:BSDE) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jul. 04, 2026)


ISX:BSDE PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ISX:BSDE
85 GF Score
Price Rp570.00
GF Value Rp970.20
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ISX:BSDE +4.59% 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:BSDE with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp970.20 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,680 Real Estate companies, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ranks better than 75% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:BSDE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25   Med: -2.3   Max: -0.33
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk was -0.33. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.30.


PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -1.62 -2.49 -2.58 -2.24

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -0.65 -2.94 -2.24 -2.75

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:BSDE
85GF Score
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ISX:BSDE
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.484+0.528 * 0.9611+0.404 * 0.9949+0.892 * 0.979+0.115 * 0.902
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8977+4.679 * 0.047552-0.327 * 0.9499
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp196,648 Mil.
Revenue was 2368795.97 + 4025671.121 + 2372024.732 + 3689852.468 = Rp12,456,344 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1579343.987 + 2576679.431 + 1490323.083 + 2362307.34 = Rp8,008,654 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp33,075,855 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp80,125,885 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,222,301 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp86,404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp1,952,980 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp8,862,226 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp15,751,685 Mil.
Net Income was 277628.648 + 1181809.473 + 75523.345 + 982173.643 = Rp2,517,135 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -654393.999 + 37390.927 + -234788.701 + -441255.585 = Rp-1,293,047 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp414,975 Mil.
Revenue was 2700904.015 + 3729565.59 + 2720373.6 + 3572133.029 = Rp12,722,976 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1696646.018 + 2225469.247 + 1727094.857 + 2212894.377 = Rp7,862,104 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp31,089,740 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp75,916,737 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,182,629 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp74,885 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp2,222,158 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp12,928,140 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp11,623,570 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(196647.62 / 12456344.291) / (414974.703 / 12722976.234)
=0.015787 / 0.032616
=0.484

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7862104.499 / 12722976.234) / (8008653.841 / 12456344.291)
=0.617945 / 0.642938
=0.9611

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (33075854.871 + 1222301.189) / 80125884.897) / (1 - (31089739.646 + 1182628.584) / 75916736.809)
=0.571947 / 0.574898
=0.9949

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12456344.291 / 12722976.234
=0.979

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(74885.114 / (74885.114 + 1182628.584)) / (86404.184 / (86404.184 + 1222301.189))
=0.05955 / 0.066023
=0.902

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1952980.277 / 12456344.291) / (2222157.538 / 12722976.234)
=0.156786 / 0.174657
=0.8977

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((15751685.305 + 8862225.594) / 80125884.897) / ((11623569.521 + 12928139.572) / 75916736.809)
=0.307191 / 0.323403
=0.9499

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2517135.109 - 0 - -1293047.358) / 80125884.897
=0.047552

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (ISX:BSDE) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jul. 04, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ranks #420 out of 1680 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 25%.
Is PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ranks #420 out of 1680 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk ranks #420 out of 1680 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk and its competitors. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (ISX:BSDE) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp970.20, compared to a current price of Rp570.00 — trading 41.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (ISX:BSDE), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (ISX:BSDE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp570.00 is trading 41.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp970.20. GuruFocus considers PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ISX:BSDE:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: Rp970.20 vs. price of Rp570.00 (41.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:BSDE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk Business Description

Address Sinar Mas Land Plaza, Jalan Grand Boulevard, BSD Green Office Park, BSD City, Tangerang, IDN, 15345
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk is a general real estate company. The company reports five segments: real estate, property, hotel, toll road, and others. Its real estate segment, which is engaged in the development of real estate properties, generates the vast majority of the company's revenue. PT Bumi's operations are centered in Indonesia. Its property include BDS city, Grand Wista, The Armont Residences, etc.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:BSDE

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp570.00
Price
Rp970.20
GF Value