PT Ciputra Development Tbk (ISX:CTRA) Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ISX:CTRA PT Ciputra Development Tbk ISX:CTRA
62 GF Score
Price Rp565.00
GF Value Rp1,404.52
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Ciputra Development Tbk ISX:CTRA -2.59% 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:CTRA with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp1,404.52 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, PT Ciputra Development Tbk ranks worse than 60.64% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:CTRA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.76
Current: -2.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Ciputra Development Tbk was -1.76. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.45.


PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Ciputra Development Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.85 -2.77 -2.40 -2.20

PT Ciputra Development Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.32 -2.23 -2.20 -2.19

PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:CTRA
62GF Score
PT Ciputra Development Tbk ISX:CTRA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Ciputra Development Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Ciputra Development Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9814+0.528 * 1.017+0.404 * 1.0105+0.892 * 1.0723+0.115 * 0.8263
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0283+4.679 * 0.048537-0.327 * 0.9141
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp2,305,576 Mil.
Revenue was 2557503 + 4224892 + 2509933 + 3150144 = Rp12,442,472 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1190186 + 1968689 + 1229792 + 1395424 = Rp5,784,091 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp25,079,350 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp45,806,210 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp3,570,539 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp199,495 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp908,884 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp11,213,029 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp6,090,752 Mil.
Net Income was 518309 + 1041170 + 386699 + 574823 = Rp2,521,001 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 122675 + -345535 + -313690 + 834269 = Rp297,719 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp2,190,846 Mil.
Revenue was 2731726 + 4070188 + 2080027 + 2721233 = Rp11,603,174 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1401029 + 1840705 + 973689 + 1270315 = Rp5,485,738 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp25,879,075 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp46,580,711 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp3,436,606 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp157,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp824,246 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp14,405,509 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp4,843,842 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2305576 / 12442472) / (2190846 / 11603174)
=0.185299 / 0.188814
=0.9814

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5485738 / 11603174) / (5784091 / 12442472)
=0.472779 / 0.464867
=1.017

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (25079350 + 3570539) / 45806210) / (1 - (25879075 + 3436606) / 46580711)
=0.374541 / 0.370648
=1.0105

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12442472 / 11603174
=1.0723

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(157129 / (157129 + 3436606)) / (199495 / (199495 + 3570539))
=0.043723 / 0.052916
=0.8263

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(908884 / 12442472) / (824246 / 11603174)
=0.073047 / 0.071036
=1.0283

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6090752 + 11213029) / 45806210) / ((4843842 + 14405509) / 46580711)
=0.377761 / 0.413247
=0.9141

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2521001 - 0 - 297719) / 45806210
=0.048537

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Ciputra Development Tbk has a M-score of -2.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 mean?
PT Ciputra Development Tbk (ISX:CTRA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Ciputra Development Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Ciputra Development Tbk ranks #1020 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 60.6%.
Is PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Ciputra Development Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Based on the distribution chart, PT Ciputra Development Tbk ranks #1020 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Ciputra Development Tbk has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Ciputra Development Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, PT Ciputra Development Tbk ranks #1020 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Ciputra Development Tbk in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Ciputra Development Tbk and its competitors. PT Ciputra Development Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Ciputra Development Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Ciputra Development Tbk (ISX:CTRA) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp1,404.52, compared to a current price of Rp565.00 — trading 59.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. PT Ciputra Development Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Ciputra Development Tbk (ISX:CTRA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Ciputra Development Tbk (ISX:CTRA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Ciputra Development Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp565.00 is trading 59.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp1,404.52. GuruFocus considers PT Ciputra Development Tbk to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ISX:CTRA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.19
  • GF Value™: Rp1,404.52 vs. price of Rp565.00 (59.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:CTRA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Ciputra Development Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav. 3-5, 39th Floor, Ciputra World 1, DBS Bank Tower, Jakarta, IDN, 12940
PT Ciputra Development Tbk is a property company in Indonesia. It targets the mid-high-income segment and has developed numerous projects across cities in Indonesia. The firm operates in two segments. Residential segment that derives the majority of revenue comprises the development of housing and other properties for sale, including land provision, integrated township development with supporting infrastructure and public facilities, and management of landed residential areas, as well as the sale of strata-title apartments and office spaces (high-rise developments). Commercial Property segment includes the development and management of shopping centers and commercial estates, hotels, leased apartments and office spaces, healthcare services, golf courses, and other recreational facilities.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:CTRA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp565.00
Price
Rp1,404.52
GF Value