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PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk (ISX:GGRP) Beneish M-Score : -2.76 (As of Jun. 11, 2024)


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What is PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.76 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:GGRP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.68   Max: 0.64
Current: -2.76

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk was 0.64. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.68.


PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.68 -2.79 -3.49 0.64 -3.03

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.46 -3.21 -3.03 -2.76

Competitive Comparison of PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7024+0.528 * 0.7559+0.404 * 2.3456+0.892 * 0.7251+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4195+4.679 * -0.041145-0.327 * 0.7286
=-2.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp115,142 Mil.
Revenue was 2505931.303 + 2658164.233 + 2604703.446 + 2395069.668 = Rp10,163,869 Mil.
Gross Profit was 351299.645 + 292780.536 + 180598.403 + 380728.851 = Rp1,205,407 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp5,518,910 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp18,581,359 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp12,103,034 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp492,496 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp3,049,145 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp757,819 Mil.
Net Income was 246362.982 + 243063.959 + 77692.092 + 168366.358 = Rp735,485 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -316752.405 + 837520.06 + 1392914.866 + -413665.849 = Rp1,500,017 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp226,066 Mil.
Revenue was 3166802.727 + 3495997.244 + 4063003.627 + 3291328.318 = Rp14,017,132 Mil.
Gross Profit was 343669.889 + 238151.795 + 424567.786 + 250218.637 = Rp1,256,608 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp5,675,953 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp17,382,102 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp11,323,514 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp478,494 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp3,384,178 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,503,430 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(115142.051 / 10163868.65) / (226065.713 / 14017131.916)
=0.011329 / 0.016128
=0.7024

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1256608.107 / 14017131.916) / (1205407.435 / 10163868.65)
=0.089648 / 0.118597
=0.7559

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5518910.028 + 12103034.33) / 18581358.673) / (1 - (5675952.898 + 11323513.907) / 17382102.114)
=0.051633 / 0.022013
=2.3456

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10163868.65 / 14017131.916
=0.7251

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 11323513.907)) / (0 / (0 + 12103034.33))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(492496.149 / 10163868.65) / (478493.656 / 14017131.916)
=0.048456 / 0.034136
=1.4195

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((757819.377 + 3049144.644) / 18581358.673) / ((1503429.62 + 3384177.659) / 17382102.114)
=0.204881 / 0.281186
=0.7286

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(735485.391 - 0 - 1500016.672) / 18581358.673
=-0.041145

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk has a M-score of -2.76 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk (ISX:GGRP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Perjuangan No. 8, Kp.Tangsi RT. 004/006, Sukadanau Village, West Cikarang Subdistrict, West Java, Bekasi, IDN, 17530
PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk is an Indonesia based company engaged in the production of flat steel products consisting of plates (sheet) and coils. The company's operating segment includes Steel sheet and its downstream and Steel bar and its downstream. It generates maximum revenue from the Steel sheet and its downstream segment.

PT Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk (ISX:GGRP) Headlines

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