PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Beneish M-Score: -2.40 (As of Jul. 22, 2026)

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ISX:TRGU PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ISX:TRGU
45 GF Score
Price Rp165.00
GF Value Rp172.89
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ISX:TRGU +1.23% 45 Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:TRGU with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp172.89 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ranks worse than 59.97% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:TRGU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -1.73   Max: 1.03
Current: -2.4

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk was 1.03. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -1.73.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.69 -2.73 -2.61

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.73 -3.07 -2.91 -2.61 -2.40

ISX:TRGU vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:TRGU
45GF Score
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ISX:TRGU
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3655+0.528 * 0.556+0.404 * 1.019+0.892 * 0.9116+0.115 * 0.8436
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4251+4.679 * 0.029992-0.327 * 1.013
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp905,775 Mil.
Revenue was 857412.906 + 1086530.258 + 1093702.073 + 808510.723 = Rp3,846,156 Mil.
Gross Profit was 50840.527 + 31728.512 + 87128.075 + 71063.026 = Rp240,760 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp2,200,165 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,585,742 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,299,782 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,960 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp27,823 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,297,344 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp315,480 Mil.
Net Income was -4304.38 + -8777.85 + 35290.081 + 11404.872 = Rp33,613 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -31169.625 + -316515.459 + 267199.299 + 6553.89 = Rp-73,932 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp727,598 Mil.
Revenue was 823814.134 + 1062239.938 + 1263268.837 + 1069620.129 = Rp4,218,943 Mil.
Gross Profit was 39360.793 + -8636.905 + 81905.689 + 34203.783 = Rp146,833 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp1,899,017 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,339,099 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,361,680 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,499 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp21,415 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,390,831 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp11,150 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(905774.621 / 3846155.96) / (727597.818 / 4218943.038)
=0.235501 / 0.17246
=1.3655

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(146833.36 / 4218943.038) / (240760.14 / 3846155.96)
=0.034803 / 0.062598
=0.556

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2200164.518 + 1299781.731) / 3585741.527) / (1 - (1899017.156 + 1361679.861) / 3339099.352)
=0.023927 / 0.02348
=1.019

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3846155.96 / 4218943.038
=0.9116

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3499.218 / (3499.218 + 1361679.861)) / (3960.263 / (3960.263 + 1299781.731))
=0.002563 / 0.003038
=0.8436

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(27823.133 / 3846155.96) / (21414.86 / 4218943.038)
=0.007234 / 0.005076
=1.4251

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((315480.33 + 2297343.954) / 3585741.527) / ((11149.888 + 2390831.005) / 3339099.352)
=0.728671 / 0.71935
=1.013

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(33612.723 - 0 - -73931.895) / 3585741.527
=0.029992

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 mean?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.40 as of Jul. 22, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ranks #1110 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 60%.
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. Based on the distribution chart, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ranks #1110 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk ranks #1110 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk and its competitors. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp172.89, compared to a current price of Rp165.00 — trading 4.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.40. PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.40 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp165.00 is trading 4.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp172.89. GuruFocus considers PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:TRGU:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.40
  • GF Value™: Rp172.89 vs. price of Rp165.00 (4.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 45/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:TRGU stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan M.H. Thamrin Nomor 81, The City Tower 28th Floor, Jakarta Pusat, IDN, 10310
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is engaged in the flour industry and cereal/grain trading through subsidiaries and management consulting services. The Group reports segments based on operating divisions by main product produced in the form of wheat flour and animal feed, as well as flour and grain processing, and others.
45GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:TRGU

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp165.00
Price
Rp172.89
GF Value