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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk (ISX:TRGU) Beneish M-Score : 0.34 (As of Apr. 08, 2025)


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What is PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.34 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:TRGU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.89   Med: 0.34   Max: 0.9
Current: 0.34

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk was 0.90. The lowest was -0.89. And the median was 0.34.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - 0.58

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.89 0.58 0.90 0.09 0.34

Competitive Comparison of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5692+0.528 * 1.2542+0.404 * 8.7844+0.892 * 1.2143+0.115 * 0.8052
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8696+4.679 * -0.057332-0.327 * 0.9646
=0.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp784,821 Mil.
Revenue was 1263268.837 + 1069620.129 + 1783704.081 + 1946125.859 = Rp6,062,719 Mil.
Gross Profit was 81905.689 + 34203.783 + 53943.234 + 22841.717 = Rp192,894 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp1,744,056 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,160,700 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,355,727 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,315 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp15,721 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,111,987 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp23,354 Mil.
Net Income was 10133.731 + -24006.871 + 1670.929 + -3149.904 = Rp-15,352 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 162795.549 + -38098.899 + -11672.121 + 52833.485 = Rp165,858 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp1,135,508 Mil.
Revenue was 1545856.78 + 1189875.287 + 1192801.96 + 1064394.774 = Rp4,992,929 Mil.
Gross Profit was 85954.42 + 30367.604 + 77181.168 + 5738.843 = Rp199,242 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp2,140,854 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,478,119 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,329,633 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp2,617 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp14,889 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp2,384,941 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp51,036 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(784820.643 / 6062718.906) / (1135508.41 / 4992928.801)
=0.12945 / 0.227423
=0.5692

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(199242.035 / 4992928.801) / (192894.423 / 6062718.906)
=0.039905 / 0.031816
=1.2542

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1744055.759 + 1355727.151) / 3160700.379) / (1 - (2140853.513 + 1329633.153) / 3478118.877)
=0.019273 / 0.002194
=8.7844

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6062718.906 / 4992928.801
=1.2143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2617.128 / (2617.128 + 1329633.153)) / (3315.026 / (3315.026 + 1355727.151))
=0.001964 / 0.002439
=0.8052

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15721.408 / 6062718.906) / (14889.394 / 4992928.801)
=0.002593 / 0.002982
=0.8696

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23353.781 + 2111986.81) / 3160700.379) / ((51036.409 + 2384940.591) / 3478118.877)
=0.675591 / 0.700372
=0.9646

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-15352.115 - 0 - 165858.014) / 3160700.379
=-0.057332

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk has a M-score of 0.34 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan M.H. Thamrin Nomor 81, The City Tower 28th Floor, Jakarta Pusat, IDN, 10310
PT Cerestar Indonesia Tbk is engaged in the flour industry and cereal/grain trading through Subsidiaries and management consulting services.

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