Heriot REIT (JSE:HET) Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (As of Jul. 21, 2026)

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JSE:HET Heriot REIT Ltd JSE:HET
69 GF Score
Price R26.00
GF Value R23.54
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 13 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Heriot REIT Beneish M-Score?

Heriot REIT JSE:HET 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:HET with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of R23.54 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 13 warning signs investors should review. Among 754 REITs companies, Heriot REIT ranks worse than 72.55% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:HET' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.24   Max: -1.13
Current: -2.19

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Heriot REIT was -1.13. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.24.


Heriot REIT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Heriot REIT Beneish M-Score Chart

Heriot REIT Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.29 -2.13 -2.79 -1.13 -2.19

Heriot REIT Semi-Annual Data
Nov17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.13 0.00 -2.19 0.00

JSE:HET vs VICI, WPC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heriot REIT Beneish M-Score vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:HET
69GF Score
Heriot REIT Ltd JSE:HET
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Heriot REIT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Heriot REIT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7226+0.528 * 1.102+0.404 * 0.978+0.892 * 1.2114+0.115 * 0.7291
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9581+4.679 * 0.067876-0.327 * 0.9363
=-2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R49 Mil.
Revenue was R1,235 Mil.
Gross Profit was R546 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R508 Mil.
Total Assets was R13,608 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R57 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R27 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R96 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R545 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R4,990 Mil.
Net Income was R1,379 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R455 Mil.
Total Receivables was R56 Mil.
Revenue was R1,020 Mil.
Gross Profit was R496 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R185 Mil.
Total Assets was R12,174 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R58 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R18 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R82 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R399 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R4,891 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(49.279 / 1235.348) / (56.294 / 1019.794)
=0.039891 / 0.055201
=0.7226

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(496.337 / 1019.794) / (545.608 / 1235.348)
=0.486703 / 0.441663
=1.102

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (507.735 + 57.125) / 13608.075) / (1 - (185.167 + 58.278) / 12173.778)
=0.958491 / 0.980003
=0.978

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1235.348 / 1019.794
=1.2114

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(17.966 / (17.966 + 58.278)) / (27.277 / (27.277 + 57.125))
=0.235638 / 0.32318
=0.7291

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(95.5 / 1235.348) / (82.286 / 1019.794)
=0.077306 / 0.080689
=0.9581

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4990.489 + 545.275) / 13608.075) / ((4890.56 + 398.575) / 12173.778)
=0.4068 / 0.434469
=0.9363

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1379.124 - 0 - 455.459) / 13608.075
=0.067876

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Heriot REIT has a M-score of -2.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 mean?
Heriot REIT (JSE:HET) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.19 as of Jul. 21, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Heriot REIT and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Heriot REIT ranks #547 out of 754 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 72.5%.
Is Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score too high?
Heriot REIT's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Based on the distribution chart, Heriot REIT ranks #547 out of 754 companies in the REITs industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Heriot REIT has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Heriot REIT's Beneish M-Score compare to VICI and WPC?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Heriot REIT ranks #547 out of 754 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Heriot REIT in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a REITs company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the REITs industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Heriot REIT and its competitors. Heriot REIT's current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Heriot REIT stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heriot REIT (JSE:HET) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R23.54, compared to a current price of R26.00 — trading 10.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.19. Heriot REIT's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 13 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Heriot REIT (JSE:HET), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.19 as of Jul. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Heriot REIT (JSE:HET) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heriot REIT stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R26.00 is trading 10.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of R23.54. GuruFocus considers Heriot REIT to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:HET:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.19
  • GF Value™: R23.54 vs. price of R26.00 (10.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 13 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:HET stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Heriot REIT Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 3 Melrose Boulevard, Suite 1, Ground Floor, Melrose Arch, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Heriot REIT Ltd is a South African real estate investment trust. The company's primary segments include retail, industrial, office, specialized, residential, and others. While the majority of the revenue is earned from the Retail segment. The primary objective of the company is to develop or acquire yield-enhancing assets within Southern Africa to create a stable and diverse portfolio for the purposes of generating capital growth and securing escalating net rental income streams. Geographically, the company operates in Gauteng, Western Cape, KwaZulu-Natal, North West, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Free State, and Namibia.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:HET

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R26.00
Price
R23.54
GF Value