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South32 (JSE:S32) Beneish M-Score : -3.11 (As of Mar. 05, 2025)


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What is South32 Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.11 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for South32's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:S32' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.61   Med: -2.84   Max: 1.99
Current: -3.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of South32 was 1.99. The lowest was -3.61. And the median was -2.84.


South32 Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for South32's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

South32 Beneish M-Score Chart

South32 Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.32 -3.28 -1.71 -2.33 -3.11

South32 Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.33 - -3.11 -

Competitive Comparison of South32's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, South32's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


South32's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, South32's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where South32's Beneish M-Score falls into.



South32 Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of South32 for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8397+0.528 * 1.0105+0.404 * 1.0436+0.892 * 0.9541+0.115 * 0.8339
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.092804-0.327 * 1.1098
=-3.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R11,684 Mil.
Revenue was R100,973 Mil.
Gross Profit was R34,352 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R81,070 Mil.
Total Assets was R262,523 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R119,844 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R11,850 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R33,983 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R24,750 Mil.
Net Income was R-3,741 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R20,622 Mil.
Total Receivables was R14,583 Mil.
Revenue was R105,833 Mil.
Gross Profit was R36,384 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R60,714 Mil.
Total Assets was R272,999 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R150,896 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R12,240 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R29,242 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R25,793 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11684.049 / 100973.039) / (14583.454 / 105833.141)
=0.115715 / 0.137797
=0.8397

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(36383.657 / 105833.141) / (34351.842 / 100973.039)
=0.343783 / 0.340208
=1.0105

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (81069.611 + 119844.437) / 262522.53) / (1 - (60714.407 + 150895.64) / 272999.267)
=0.234679 / 0.22487
=1.0436

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=100973.039 / 105833.141
=0.9541

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12240.354 / (12240.354 + 150895.64)) / (11849.911 / (11849.911 + 119844.437))
=0.075032 / 0.08998
=0.8339

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 100973.039) / (0 / 105833.141)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((24750.281 + 33983.26) / 262522.53) / ((25792.845 + 29241.888) / 272999.267)
=0.223728 / 0.201593
=1.1098

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-3741.107 - 0 - 20622.163) / 262522.53
=-0.092804

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

South32 has a M-score of -3.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


South32 Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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South32 Business Description

Address
108 St Georges Terrace, Level 35, Perth, WA, AUS, 6000
South32 was born of the demerger of noncore assets from BHP in 2015. Its major operations include alumina businesses in Australia and Brazil, aluminum in Brazil, South Africa, and Mozambique, and manganese businesses in Australia and South Africa. It sold New South Wales metallurgical coal in August 2024. It also owns the Cannington silver/lead/zinc mine in northwest Queensland and the Cerro Matoso nickel mine in Colombia. Cannington and manganese operations deliver high returns, but have relatively short reserve life. The company acquired Arizona Mining, which brings with it the high-grade and likely low-cost Taylor project in the US, and also entered the copper business in 2022 via the purchase of a 45% stake in the Sierra Gorda mine in Chile.

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