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Aisha Steel Mills (KAR:ASL) Beneish M-Score : -3.53 (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Aisha Steel Mills Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:ASL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.02   Max: 3.79
Current: -3.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aisha Steel Mills was 3.79. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.02.


Aisha Steel Mills Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aisha Steel Mills Beneish M-Score Chart

Aisha Steel Mills Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.54 -2.42 -2.44 -1.48 -1.36

Aisha Steel Mills Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.45 -1.36 -1.98 -3.27 -3.53

Competitive Comparison of Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aisha Steel Mills's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aisha Steel Mills Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aisha Steel Mills for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.3458+0.528 * 0.7107+0.404 * 1.345+0.892 * 0.9031+0.115 * 1.1239
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.9064+4.679 * -0.055073-0.327 * 0.8496
=-3.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨2,124 Mil.
Revenue was 8790.107 + 12046.328 + 10599.48 + 5698.096 = ₨37,134 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1281.033 + 1135.797 + 1033.566 + 745.327 = ₨4,196 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨17,289 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨39,732 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨19,559 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨905 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨601 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨21,119 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨2,534 Mil.
Net Income was 91.086 + 96.927 + 35.241 + -1069.799 = ₨-847 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -395.982 + -3254.58 + 2633.641 + 2358.548 = ₨1,342 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨6,800 Mil.
Revenue was 9719.66 + 9143.2 + 6542.516 + 15713.814 = ₨41,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1540.979 + -424.282 + 152.619 + 2032.764 = ₨3,302 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨19,351 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨40,312 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨18,786 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨983 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨349 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨22,682 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨5,563 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2123.758 / 37134.011) / (6799.742 / 41119.19)
=0.057192 / 0.165367
=0.3458

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3302.08 / 41119.19) / (4195.723 / 37134.011)
=0.080305 / 0.112989
=0.7107

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17289.114 + 19558.766) / 39731.913) / (1 - (19350.746 + 18785.745) / 40312.056)
=0.072587 / 0.053968
=1.345

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=37134.011 / 41119.19
=0.9031

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(982.722 / (982.722 + 18785.745)) / (905.113 / (905.113 + 19558.766))
=0.049712 / 0.04423
=1.1239

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(601.239 / 37134.011) / (349.233 / 41119.19)
=0.016191 / 0.008493
=1.9064

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2533.66 + 21119.433) / 39731.913) / ((5563.279 + 22682.241) / 40312.056)
=0.595317 / 0.700672
=0.8496

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-846.545 - 0 - 1341.627) / 39731.913
=-0.055073

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aisha Steel Mills has a M-score of -3.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Aisha Steel Mills Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aisha Steel Mills (KAR:ASL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
23 M.T. Khan Road, 1st Floor, Arif Habib Center, Karachi, SD, PAK, 74000
Aisha Steel Mills Ltd is involved in manufacturing and selling cold rolled steel coils and sheets to the industrial, engineering, and manufacturing industries in Pakistan. Its product offerings include hot-dipped galvanized steel coils, cold-rolled steel coils, and others. The company geographically operates in Pakistan, North America, Middle East, Europe, Asia and Africa. The majority of revenue is derived from Pakistan.

Aisha Steel Mills (KAR:ASL) Headlines

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