Saif Power (KAR:SPWL) Beneish M-Score: 3.54 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


KAR:SPWL Saif Power Ltd KAR:SPWL
70 GF Score
Price ₨10.01
GF Value ₨8.80
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Saif Power Beneish M-Score?

Saif Power KAR:SPWL -1.48% 70 Beneish M-Score is 3.54 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:SPWL with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨8.80 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Saif Power ranks worse than 95.64% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 3.54 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saif Power's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:SPWL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -35.43   Med: -1.81   Max: 51.27
Current: 3.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Saif Power was 51.27. The lowest was -35.43. And the median was -1.81.


Saif Power Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Saif Power's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Saif Power Beneish M-Score Chart

Saif Power Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.86 -3.06 0.00 -2.38 13.84

Saif Power Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.95 -35.43 -6.56 13.84 3.54

KAR:SPWL vs CEG, VST, NRG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Saif Power's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saif Power Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Saif Power's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saif Power's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:SPWL
70GF Score
Saif Power Ltd KAR:SPWL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Saif Power Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Saif Power for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2125+0.528 * 10.611+0.404 * 2.0771+0.892 * 1.0275+0.115 * 0.9305
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8148+4.679 * 0.047092-0.327 * 0.8557
=3.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨4,687 Mil.
Revenue was 794.144 + 1809.132 + 2609.926 + 3279.378 = ₨8,493 Mil.
Gross Profit was 115.733 + -90.217 + 36.833 + 26.631 = ₨89 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨6,587 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨17,389 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨9,518 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨665 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨114 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨6,249 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨672 Mil.
Net Income was 57.768 + 122.977 + -65.673 + -131.819 = ₨-17 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -530.686 + -256.817 + 442.756 + -490.899 = ₨-836 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨3,762 Mil.
Revenue was 1268.94 + -85.476 + 4492.067 + 2589.621 = ₨8,265 Mil.
Gross Profit was 69.196 + -1019.136 + 877.598 + 991.191 = ₨919 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨10,162 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨21,064 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨10,153 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨656 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨136 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨9,741 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨56 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4687.001 / 8492.58) / (3761.924 / 8265.152)
=0.551894 / 0.455155
=1.2125

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(918.849 / 8265.152) / (88.98 / 8492.58)
=0.111171 / 0.010477
=10.611

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6586.915 + 9517.956) / 17389.189) / (1 - (10161.764 + 10153.363) / 21064.11)
=0.073857 / 0.035557
=2.0771

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8492.58 / 8265.152
=1.0275

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(656.411 / (656.411 + 10153.363)) / (664.504 / (664.504 + 9517.956))
=0.060724 / 0.06526
=0.9305

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(113.877 / 8492.58) / (136.009 / 8265.152)
=0.013409 / 0.016456
=0.8148

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((671.605 + 6248.824) / 17389.189) / ((56.025 + 9740.921) / 21064.11)
=0.397973 / 0.465101
=0.8557

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-16.747 - 0 - -835.646) / 17389.189
=0.047092

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Saif Power has a M-score of 3.54 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 3.54 mean?
Saif Power (KAR:SPWL) has a Beneish M-Score of 3.54 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saif Power and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Saif Power ranks #373 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 95.6%.
Is Saif Power's Beneish M-Score too high?
Saif Power's current Beneish M-Score is 3.54. Based on the distribution chart, Saif Power ranks #373 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Saif Power has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Saif Power's Beneish M-Score compare to CEG and VST?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Saif Power ranks #373 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Saif Power in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saif Power and its competitors. Saif Power's current Beneish M-Score is 3.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Saif Power stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saif Power (KAR:SPWL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨8.80, compared to a current price of ₨10.01 — trading 13.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 3.54. Saif Power's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Saif Power (KAR:SPWL), the current Beneish M-Score is 3.54 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Saif Power (KAR:SPWL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saif Power stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨10.01 is trading 13.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨8.80. GuruFocus considers Saif Power to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:SPWL:

  • Beneish M-Score: 3.54
  • GF Value™: ₨8.80 vs. price of ₨10.01 (13.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:SPWL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Saif Power Business Description

Address Fazal-ul-Haq Road, Block E, 1st Floor, Kashmir Commercial Complex, Blue Area, Islamabad, PB, PAK
Saif Power Ltd is an independent power producer based in Pakistan. Its principal activities are to own, operate and maintain a combined cycle power plant and sell the electricity to Central Power Purchasing Agency Guarantee (CPPA-G).
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:SPWL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨10.01
Price
₨8.80
GF Value