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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (LSE:BVA) Beneish M-Score : -3.15 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:BVA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.44   Max: 8.47
Current: -3.15

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria was 8.47. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.44.


Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0035+0.892 * 1.2096+0.115 * 1.0488
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9181+4.679 * 0.015974-0.327 * 1.1077
=-3.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €0 Mil.
Revenue was 8219 + 7438 + 9246 + 9120 = €34,023 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8219 + 7438 + 9246 + 9120 = €34,023 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €168,383 Mil.
Total Assets was €801,690 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €9,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,439 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €11,162 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €73,627 Mil.
Net Income was 2200 + 2058 + 2083 + 2032 = €8,373 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 11088 + -4306 + -11215 = €-4,433 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,150 Mil.
Revenue was 6958 + 6488 + 7638 + 7044 = €28,128 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6958 + 6488 + 7638 + 7044 = €28,128 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €157,580 Mil.
Total Assets was €739,564 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €8,648 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,361 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €10,051 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,462 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €57,853 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 34023) / (3150 / 28128)
=0 / 0.111988
=0

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(28128 / 28128) / (34023 / 34023)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (168383 + 9660) / 801690) / (1 - (157580 + 8648) / 739564)
=0.777915 / 0.775235
=1.0035

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34023 / 28128
=1.2096

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1361 / (1361 + 8648)) / (1439 / (1439 + 9660))
=0.135978 / 0.129651
=1.0488

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11162 / 34023) / (10051 / 28128)
=0.328072 / 0.357331
=0.9181

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((73627 + 0) / 801690) / ((57853 + 3462) / 739564)
=0.09184 / 0.082907
=1.1077

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8373 - 0 - -4433) / 801690
=0.015974

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (LSE:BVA) Business Description

Address
Calle Azul, 4, Madrid, ESP, 28050
Despite its Spanish origins, BBVA generates only around a quarter of its profits in Spain. We expect that on a normalised basis, BBVA's market-leading Mexican bank should contribute half of its earnings, while its Turkish operation should account for another 15%. The balance of BBVA's earnings comes from smaller operations in South America. BBVA is overwhelmingly a retail and commercial bank, with corporate and investment banking forming a minor part of the overall business. BBVA also offers insurance and investment products through its banking networks.