Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW) Beneish M-Score: -2.87 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LSE:GAW Games Workshop Group PLC LSE:GAW
98 GF Score
Price £218.00
GF Value £147.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Games Workshop Group Beneish M-Score?

Games Workshop Group LSE:GAW +7.18% 98 Beneish M-Score is -2.87 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:GAW with a GF Score™ of 98/100 and a GF Value™ of £147.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Games Workshop Group ranks better than 70.63% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:GAW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.93   Max: -1.92
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Games Workshop Group was -1.92. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.93.


Games Workshop Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Games Workshop Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Games Workshop Group Annual Data
Trend May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 -1.92 -3.49 -3.03 -2.87

Games Workshop Group Semi-Annual Data
May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23 May24 Nov24 May25 Nov25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -3.03 0.00 -2.87 0.00

LSE:GAW vs AS, HAS, LTH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Games Workshop Group Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LSE:GAW
98GF Score
Games Workshop Group PLC LSE:GAW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Games Workshop Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Games Workshop Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1734+0.528 * 0.9885+0.404 * 0.7525+0.892 * 1.1746+0.115 * 0.9587
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9056+4.679 * -0.133943-0.327 * 0.9364
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May25) TTM:Last Year (May24) TTM:
Total Receivables was £52.1 Mil.
Revenue was £617.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was £445.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £227.5 Mil.
Total Assets was £383.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £108.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £43.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £183.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £63.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £34.0 Mil.
Net Income was £196.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £247.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was £37.8 Mil.
Revenue was £525.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was £374.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £191.9 Mil.
Total Assets was £351.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £102.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £39.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £172.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £58.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £37.2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(52.1 / 617.5) / (37.8 / 525.7)
=0.084372 / 0.071904
=1.1734

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(374.5 / 525.7) / (445 / 617.5)
=0.712383 / 0.720648
=0.9885

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (227.5 + 108.9) / 383) / (1 - (191.9 + 102.6) / 351.3)
=0.121671 / 0.161685
=0.7525

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=617.5 / 525.7
=1.1746

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(39 / (39 + 102.6)) / (43.9 / (43.9 + 108.9))
=0.275424 / 0.287304
=0.9587

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(183.7 / 617.5) / (172.7 / 525.7)
=0.29749 / 0.328514
=0.9056

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((34 + 63.6) / 383) / ((37.2 + 58.4) / 351.3)
=0.25483 / 0.272132
=0.9364

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(196.1 - 0 - 247.4) / 383
=-0.133943

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Games Workshop Group has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.87 mean?
Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.87 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Games Workshop Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Games Workshop Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 29.4%.
Is Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Games Workshop Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. Based on the distribution chart, Games Workshop Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Games Workshop Group has a GF Score™ of 98/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Games Workshop Group's Beneish M-Score compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Games Workshop Group ranks #242 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Games Workshop Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Games Workshop Group and its competitors. Games Workshop Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Games Workshop Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £147.20, compared to a current price of £218.00 — trading 48.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.87. Games Workshop Group's overall GF Score™ is 98/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.87 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Games Workshop Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £218.00 is trading 48.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of £147.20. GuruFocus considers Games Workshop Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:GAW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.87
  • GF Value™: £147.20 vs. price of £218.00 (48.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 98/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:GAW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Games Workshop Group Business Description

Address Willow Road, Lenton, Nottingham, GBR, NG7 2WS
Games Workshop Group PLC designs, manufactures and sells fantasy miniatures and games related products. It carries the manufacturing activity in the UK and sells the same in the different region of the countries such as Continental Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments Core and Licensing . The core segment includes all revenue and expenditure relating to the design, manufacture and sales of their fantasy miniatures and related products. The licensing segment includes all revenue and expenditure relating to licences granted to external partners. The company generates majority of its revenue from the core segment.
98GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:GAW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£218.00
Price
£147.20
GF Value