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Lundin Gold (LTS:0R4M) Beneish M-Score : -3.43 (As of Mar. 13, 2025)


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What is Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0R4M' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.65   Med: -3.51   Max: -2.36
Current: -3.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lundin Gold was -2.36. The lowest was -3.65. And the median was -3.51.


Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Lundin Gold Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.36 -3.65 -3.59 -3.43

Lundin Gold Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.59 -3.40 -3.76 -3.73 -3.43

Competitive Comparison of Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lundin Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lundin Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5036+0.528 * 0.818+0.404 * 0.4214+0.892 * 1.3087+0.115 * 1.016
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2561+4.679 * -0.308876-0.327 * 0.5132
=-3.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr2,351 Mil.
Revenue was 3754.574 + 3304.857 + 3161.107 + 2360.669 = kr12,581 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2364.06 + 2078.369 + 1801.216 + 1178.944 = kr7,423 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr7,409 Mil.
Total Assets was kr16,779 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr9,104 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,442 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr367 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr2,367 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0 Mil.
Net Income was 1418.68 + 1388.229 + 1251.005 + 436.202 = kr4,494 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 127.69 + -13.758 + 2759.874 + -174.566 = kr2,699 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2109.351 + 2232.847 + 1511.9 + 1123.525 = kr6,978 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr1,194 Mil.
Revenue was 1956.001 + 2340.799 + 2626.907 + 2689.56 = kr9,613 Mil.
Gross Profit was 800.616 + 1104.268 + 1343.994 + 1390.289 = kr4,639 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr5,476 Mil.
Total Assets was kr15,060 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr9,016 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1,455 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr223 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr1,918 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr2,222 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2350.526 / 12581.207) / (1194.446 / 9613.267)
=0.186828 / 0.12425
=1.5036

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4639.167 / 9613.267) / (7422.589 / 12581.207)
=0.48258 / 0.589974
=0.818

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7408.932 + 9103.654) / 16779.379) / (1 - (5476.399 + 9015.651) / 15060.301)
=0.0159 / 0.037732
=0.4214

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12581.207 / 9613.267
=1.3087

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1454.759 / (1454.759 + 9015.651)) / (1442.107 / (1442.107 + 9103.654))
=0.13894 / 0.136748
=1.016

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(367.207 / 12581.207) / (223.375 / 9613.267)
=0.029187 / 0.023236
=1.2561

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 2367.432) / 16779.379) / ((2221.95 + 1918.458) / 15060.301)
=0.141092 / 0.274922
=0.5132

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4494.116 - 2699.24 - 6977.623) / 16779.379
=-0.308876

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lundin Gold has a M-score of -3.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Lundin Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Lundin Gold Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
885 West Georgia Street, Suite 2000, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3E8
Lundin Gold Inc is a Canada based company focused on its Fruta del Norte gold operation and developing its portfolio of mineral concessions in Ecuador. The Fruta del Norte deposit is located within a 150 km long copper-gold metallogenic sub-province located in the Cordillera del Condor region in southeastern Ecuador.

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