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Ambev (MEX:ABEV N) Beneish M-Score : -2.73 (As of Mar. 30, 2025)


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What is Ambev Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.73 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ambev's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ABEV N' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.68   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ambev was -2.16. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.68.


Ambev Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ambev's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ambev Beneish M-Score Chart

Ambev Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.71 -2.52 -2.65 -2.73

Ambev Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.75 -2.67 -2.70 -2.73

Competitive Comparison of Ambev's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Ambev's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ambev's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ambev's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ambev's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Ambev Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ambev for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9626+0.528 * 0.9897+0.404 * 0.9188+0.892 * 1.1006+0.115 * 1.0219
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0034+4.679 * -0.063545-0.327 * 0.9741
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN33,679 Mil.
Revenue was 92418.163 + 78567.558 + 68177.732 + 67575.123 = MXN306,739 Mil.
Gross Profit was 49607.667 + 39553.175 + 33960.048 + 34051.361 = MXN157,172 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN185,127 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN555,519 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN103,134 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN24,429 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN90,481 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN168,832 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN7,439 Mil.
Net Income was 16682.994 + 12303.408 + 8150.726 + 12331.966 = MXN49,469 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -2627.411 + -1110.665 + -1072.791 + -629.427 = MXN-5,440 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 47563.859 + 28830.485 + 11422.219 + 2393.553 = MXN90,210 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN31,792 Mil.
Revenue was 69248.329 + 71661.177 + 66750.598 + 71052.618 = MXN278,713 Mil.
Gross Profit was 37026.119 + 35604.381 + 32716.373 + 35990.681 = MXN141,338 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN126,665 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN459,516 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN92,254 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN22,448 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN81,938 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN142,053 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN7,632 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(33678.828 / 306738.576) / (31792.332 / 278712.722)
=0.109797 / 0.114068
=0.9626

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(141337.554 / 278712.722) / (157172.251 / 306738.576)
=0.507108 / 0.512398
=0.9897

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (185127.24 + 103134.017) / 555519.481) / (1 - (126664.584 + 92254.3) / 459516.152)
=0.481096 / 0.523588
=0.9188

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=306738.576 / 278712.722
=1.1006

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(22448.291 / (22448.291 + 92254.3)) / (24429.164 / (24429.164 + 103134.017))
=0.195709 / 0.191506
=1.0219

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(90480.699 / 306738.576) / (81937.746 / 278712.722)
=0.294977 / 0.293986
=1.0034

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7439.479 + 168832.378) / 555519.481) / ((7631.795 + 142052.887) / 459516.152)
=0.31731 / 0.325744
=0.9741

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(49469.094 - -5440.294 - 90210.116) / 555519.481
=-0.063545

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ambev has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ambev Business Description

Address
Rua Doctor Renato Paes de Barros, 1017, 3rd Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04530-001
Ambev is the largest brewer in Latin America and the Caribbean and is Anheuser-Busch InBev's subsidiary in the region. It produces, distributes, and sells beer and PepsiCo products in Brazil and other Latin American countries and owns Argentina's largest brewer, Quinsa. Ambev was formed in 1999 through the merger of Brazil's two largest beverage companies, Brahma and Antarctica. In 2004, Ambev combined with Canadian brewer Labatt, giving AB InBev a controlling interest of 62%.

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