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Arcos Dorados Holdings (MEX:ARCO) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Arcos Dorados Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ARCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -2.77   Max: -0.91
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arcos Dorados Holdings was -0.91. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.77.


Arcos Dorados Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Arcos Dorados Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.13 -3.11 -2.56 -2.53

Arcos Dorados Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.53 -2.43 -2.33 -2.59

Competitive Comparison of Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arcos Dorados Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arcos Dorados Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arcos Dorados Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1293+0.528 * 1.0835+0.404 * 1.0179+0.892 * 1.0721+0.115 * 0.9665
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9873+4.679 * -0.043527-0.327 * 0.9912
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN3,487 Mil.
Revenue was 22322.598 + 20351.821 + 17946.46 + 19952.465 = MXN80,573 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2779.522 + 2605.723 + 2196.73 + 2820.916 = MXN10,403 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN9,968 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN58,305 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN41,829 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN3,175 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN5,209 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN15,821 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN31,048 Mil.
Net Income was 693.374 + 487.901 + 473.143 + 946.79 = MXN2,601 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 69.586 + -277.696 + -55.763 + -213.163 = MXN-477 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1891.982 + 1339.108 + -155.806 + 2540.841 = MXN5,616 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN2,880 Mil.
Revenue was 19598.175 + 17838.588 + 17859.026 + 19859.074 = MXN75,155 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2808.71 + 2344.84 + 2396.207 + 2964.172 = MXN10,514 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN10,593 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN49,580 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN33,550 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,455 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN4,922 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN13,670 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN26,539 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3486.581 / 80573.344) / (2879.657 / 75154.863)
=0.043272 / 0.038316
=1.1293

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10513.929 / 75154.863) / (10402.891 / 80573.344)
=0.139897 / 0.129111
=1.0835

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9968.313 + 41829.325) / 58305.282) / (1 - (10593.18 + 33550.363) / 49579.981)
=0.111613 / 0.10965
=1.0179

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=80573.344 / 75154.863
=1.0721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2455.031 / (2455.031 + 33550.363)) / (3175.145 / (3175.145 + 41829.325))
=0.068185 / 0.070552
=0.9665

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5209.488 / 80573.344) / (4921.843 / 75154.863)
=0.064655 / 0.065489
=0.9873

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((31047.823 + 15820.585) / 58305.282) / ((26538.717 + 13670.298) / 49579.981)
=0.803845 / 0.810993
=0.9912

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2601.208 - -477.036 - 5616.125) / 58305.282
=-0.043527

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arcos Dorados Holdings has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Arcos Dorados Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arcos Dorados Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Rio Negro 1338, First Floor, Montevideo, URY, 11100
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc operates McDonald's-branded restaurants in approximately 20 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean. It functions through two sources which include company-operated restaurants and franchised restaurants segment. Their menu includes hamburgers, McNuggets, salad, sandwiches, french fries and others.