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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (MEX:BBVA) Beneish M-Score : 5.43 (As of Sep. 27, 2024)


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What is Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 5.43 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:BBVA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.43   Max: 8.51
Current: 5.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria was 8.51. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.43.


Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 10.4166+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9989+0.892 * 1.1554+0.115 * 1.0897
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9428+4.679 * 0.003098-0.327 * 1.1034
=6.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN811,725 Mil.
Revenue was 200002.675 + 148265.891 + 137682.068 + 171883.801 = MXN657,834 Mil.
Gross Profit was 200002.675 + 148265.891 + 137682.068 + 171883.801 = MXN657,834 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN14,978,193 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN185,429 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN27,825 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN218,347 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN1,478,466 Mil.
Net Income was 55098.351 + 39686.697 + 38094.877 + 38723.119 = MXN171,603 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 205245.869 + -80048.848 = MXN125,197 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN67,443 Mil.
Revenue was 148945.757 + 134280.46 + 133993.695 + 152117.198 = MXN569,337 Mil.
Gross Profit was 148945.757 + 134280.46 + 133993.695 + 152117.198 = MXN569,337 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN14,161,939 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN159,960 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN26,514 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN200,449 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN1,266,884 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(811724.521 / 657834.435) / (67442.58 / 569337.11)
=1.233934 / 0.118458
=10.4166

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(569337.11 / 569337.11) / (657834.435 / 657834.435)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 185429.417) / 14978192.801) / (1 - (0 + 159960.202) / 14161938.698)
=0.98762 / 0.988705
=0.9989

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=657834.435 / 569337.11
=1.1554

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(26513.851 / (26513.851 + 159960.202)) / (27824.607 / (27824.607 + 185429.417))
=0.142185 / 0.130476
=1.0897

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(218346.897 / 657834.435) / (200448.528 / 569337.11)
=0.331918 / 0.352074
=0.9428

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1478465.837 + 0) / 14978192.801) / ((1266884.06 + 0) / 14161938.698)
=0.098708 / 0.089457
=1.1034

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(171603.044 - 0 - 125197.021) / 14978192.801
=0.003098

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria has a M-score of 6.32 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Business Description

Address
Calle Azul, 4, Madrid, ESP, 28050
Despite its Spanish origins, BBVA generates only around a quarter of its profits in Spain. We expect that on a normalised basis, BBVA's market-leading Mexican bank should contribute half of its earnings, while its Turkish operation should account for another 15%. The balance of BBVA's earnings comes from smaller operations in South America. BBVA is overwhelmingly a retail and commercial bank, with corporate and investment banking forming a minor part of the overall business. BBVA also offers insurance and investment products through its banking networks.