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ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT) Beneish M-Score : -2.83 (As of Mar. 25, 2025)


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What is ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.35   Med: -2.33   Max: -0.98
Current: -2.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ArcelorMittal was -0.98. The lowest was -5.35. And the median was -2.33.


ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Chart

ArcelorMittal Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.38 -2.04 -2.31 -2.21 -2.83

ArcelorMittal Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 - - - -2.83

Competitive Comparison of ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score falls into.



ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ArcelorMittal for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0565+0.528 * 0.7485+0.404 * 1.0379+0.892 * 1.1237+0.115 * 1.0055
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1304+4.679 * -0.041696-0.327 * 1.0682
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN117,960 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,302,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN120,713 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN612,782 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,864,187 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN694,724 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN54,892 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN51,680 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN455,176 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN183,843 Mil.
Net Income was MXN27,926 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN4,463 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was MXN101,192 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN99,367 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,158,917 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN80,407 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN564,224 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,594,170 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN571,285 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN45,406 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN40,687 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN369,512 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN142,057 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(117959.839 / 1302250.763) / (99367.248 / 1158916.782)
=0.090582 / 0.085741
=1.0565

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(80407.013 / 1158916.782) / (120712.792 / 1302250.763)
=0.069381 / 0.092696
=0.7485

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (612782.177 + 694724.222) / 1864186.743) / (1 - (564224.003 + 571285.29) / 1594170.448)
=0.298618 / 0.287711
=1.0379

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1302250.763 / 1158916.782
=1.1237

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(45406.113 / (45406.113 + 571285.29)) / (54892.202 / (54892.202 + 694724.222))
=0.073629 / 0.073227
=1.0055

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(51680.425 / 1302250.763) / (40687.272 / 1158916.782)
=0.039685 / 0.035108
=1.1304

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((183842.995 + 455175.652) / 1864186.743) / ((142057.481 + 369512.404) / 1594170.448)
=0.342787 / 0.3209
=1.0682

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(27925.782 - 4463.12 - 101191.856) / 1864186.743
=-0.041696

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ArcelorMittal has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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ArcelorMittal Business Description

Address
24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1160
ArcelorMittal SA is involved in the steel industry. The company's operating segments include North America, Brazil, Europe, India and JVs, Sustainable Solutions, Mining and Other . It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment. Europe segment produces hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, coated products, tinplate, plate, and slab. These products are sold to customers in the automotive, general, and packaging sectors as well as also produce long products consisting of sections, wire rods, rebar, billets, blooms and wire drawing, and tubular products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from United States.