ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT) Beneish M-Score: -2.62 (As of Jul. 30, 2026)

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MEX:MT ArcelorMittal SA MEX:MT
60 GF Score
Price MXN1,170.00
GF Value MXN491.85
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score?

ArcelorMittal MEX:MT 60 Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MT with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN491.85 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 588 Steel companies, ArcelorMittal ranks better than 60.2% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.62 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.78   Med: -2.48   Max: -0.98
Current: -2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ArcelorMittal was -0.98. The lowest was -3.78. And the median was -2.48.


ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Chart

ArcelorMittal Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 -2.31 -2.21 -2.83 -2.62

ArcelorMittal Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.62 0.00

MEX:MT vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:MT
60GF Score
ArcelorMittal SA MEX:MT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

ArcelorMittal Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ArcelorMittal for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0692+0.528 * 1.2996+0.404 * 0.8931+0.892 * 0.8483+0.115 * 1.0937
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0703+4.679 * -0.045577-0.327 * 0.991
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN106,990 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,104,686 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN78,793 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN551,064 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,759,211 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN738,972 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN53,027 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN46,923 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN405,488 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN192,139 Mil.
Net Income was MXN56,754 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN50,362 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was MXN86,571 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN117,960 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,302,251 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN120,713 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN612,782 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,864,187 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN694,724 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN54,892 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN51,680 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN455,176 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN183,843 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(106989.869 / 1104685.707) / (117959.839 / 1302250.763)
=0.096851 / 0.090582
=1.0692

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(120712.792 / 1302250.763) / (78792.943 / 1104685.707)
=0.092696 / 0.071326
=1.2996

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (551064.449 + 738971.934) / 1759210.908) / (1 - (612782.177 + 694724.222) / 1864186.743)
=0.266696 / 0.298618
=0.8931

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1104685.707 / 1302250.763
=0.8483

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(54892.202 / (54892.202 + 694724.222)) / (53026.787 / (53026.787 + 738971.934))
=0.073227 / 0.066953
=1.0937

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(46922.854 / 1104685.707) / (51680.425 / 1302250.763)
=0.042476 / 0.039685
=1.0703

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((192138.825 + 405488.364) / 1759210.908) / ((183842.995 + 455175.652) / 1864186.743)
=0.339713 / 0.342787
=0.991

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(56753.966 - 50361.943 - 86571.406) / 1759210.908
=-0.045577

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ArcelorMittal has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 mean?
ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.62 as of Jul. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ArcelorMittal and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, ArcelorMittal ranks #234 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 39.8%.
Is ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score too high?
ArcelorMittal's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. Based on the distribution chart, ArcelorMittal ranks #234 out of 588 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ArcelorMittal has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ArcelorMittal's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, ArcelorMittal ranks #234 out of 588 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts ArcelorMittal in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ArcelorMittal and its competitors. ArcelorMittal's current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ArcelorMittal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN491.85, compared to a current price of MXN1,170.00 — trading 137.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.62. ArcelorMittal's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.62 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ArcelorMittal (MEX:MT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ArcelorMittal stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,170.00 is trading 137.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN491.85. GuruFocus considers ArcelorMittal to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.62
  • GF Value™: MXN491.85 vs. price of MXN1,170.00 (137.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ArcelorMittal Business Description

Address 24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1160
ArcelorMittal SA is an integrated steel and mining company. The company's reportable operating segments include North America, Brazil, Europe, India and JVs, Sustainable Solutions, and Mining. It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment. The Europe segment produces hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil, coated products, tinplate, plate, and slab. These products are sold to customers in the automotive, general, and packaging sectors, as well as producing long products consisting of sections, wire rods, rebar, billets, blooms and wire drawing, and tubular products. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States, followed by Brazil, Canada, Mexico, Argentina, and other markets.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,170.00
Price
MXN491.85
GF Value