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Royal Gold (MEX:RGLD) Beneish M-Score : -2.49 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Royal Gold Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:RGLD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.49   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.87
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Royal Gold was -1.87. The lowest was -5.49. And the median was -2.59.


Royal Gold Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Royal Gold Beneish M-Score Chart

Royal Gold Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.38 -1.87 - -2.59

Royal Gold Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.59 -2.87 -2.71 -2.49

Competitive Comparison of Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score

For the Gold subindustry, Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Gold's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Royal Gold Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Royal Gold for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.284+0.528 * 0.8802+0.404 * 0.6829+0.892 * 1.0841+0.115 * 1.2681
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9848+4.679 * -0.054581-0.327 * 0.2268
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN1,187 Mil.
Revenue was 3816.709 + 3189.457 + 2471.216 + 2591.391 = MXN12,069 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2539.025 + 2062.734 + 1442.829 + 1518.024 = MXN7,563 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN3,980 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN65,010 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN59,491 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN2,691 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN746 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,700 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN0 Mil.
Net Income was 1895.034 + 1487.739 + 782.779 + 1065.626 = MXN5,231 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -8.368 + -1.154 + 7.419 + 0.407 = MXN-2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2690.699 + 2079.606 + 2294.997 + 1715.893 = MXN8,781 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN853 Mil.
Revenue was 2414.555 + 2469.442 + 3071.316 + 3177.458 = MXN11,133 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1314.935 + 1388.467 + 1749.416 + 1687.496 = MXN6,140 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN2,853 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN59,175 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN54,270 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN3,151 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN699 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,234 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN5,587 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1187.483 / 12068.773) / (853.09 / 11132.771)
=0.098393 / 0.076629
=1.284

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6140.314 / 11132.771) / (7562.612 / 12068.773)
=0.551553 / 0.626626
=0.8802

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3979.508 + 59490.776) / 65009.987) / (1 - (2852.623 + 54269.967) / 59174.832)
=0.023684 / 0.034681
=0.6829

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12068.773 / 11132.771
=1.0841

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3151.338 / (3151.338 + 54269.967)) / (2691.077 / (2691.077 + 59490.776))
=0.054881 / 0.043278
=1.2681

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(746.216 / 12068.773) / (698.938 / 11132.771)
=0.06183 / 0.062782
=0.9848

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 1699.726) / 65009.987) / ((5587.111 + 1234.077) / 59174.832)
=0.026146 / 0.115272
=0.2268

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5231.178 - -1.696 - 8781.195) / 65009.987
=-0.054581

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Royal Gold has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Royal Gold Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Royal Gold Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1144 15th Street, Suite 2500, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Royal Gold Inc enquires and manages precious metal royalties and streams, with a focus on gold. The company operates by purchasing a percentage of the metal produced from a mineral property for an initial payment, without assuming responsibility of mining operations. Similarly, precious metal streams are purchase agreements with mine operators providing the right to purchase all or a portion of one or more metals produced from a mine, in exchange for an upfront deposit payment. Generally Royal Gold does not conduct any work on the properties in which it holds royalty and streaming assets. The company owns a portfolio of producing, development, evaluation, and exploration royalties and streams, and the majority of group revenue is generated from Canada, Mexico, Chile, and the United States.