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Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC (MIC:AFLT) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC was -1.11. The lowest was -4.69. And the median was -2.54.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.28 -4.69 -4.06 -2.00 -

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.00 -0.69 - -

Competitive Comparison of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₽82,262 Mil.
Revenue was 171090 + 188928 + 139697 + 99166 = ₽598,881 Mil.
Gross Profit was -19963 + 26927 + 9241 + -50914 = ₽-34,709 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽250,802 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽1,114,014 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽743,158 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽95,523 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽10,530 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽339,604 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽598,197 Mil.
Net Income was 98585 + -10844 + -53599 + -107025 = ₽-72,883 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₽0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 70613 + 36800 + 0 + 23419 = ₽130,832 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₽0 Mil.
Revenue was 133652 + 81132 + 129513 + 167072 = ₽511,369 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1021 + -17912 + 40064 + 23411 = ₽46,584 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽93,648 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽10,614 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(82262 / 598881) / (0 / 511369)
=0.13736 / 0
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(46584 / 511369) / (-34709 / 598881)
=0.091097 / -0.057956
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (250802 + 743158) / 1114014) / (1 - (0 + 0) / 0)
=0.107767 /
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=598881 / 511369
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(93648 / (93648 + 0)) / (95523 / (95523 + 743158))
=1 / 0.113897
=

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10530 / 598881) / (10614 / 511369)
=0.017583 / 0.020756
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((598197 + 339604) / 1114014) / ((0 + 0) / 0)
=0.841822 /
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-72883 - 0 - 130832) / 1114014
=-0.182866

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1, Arbat Street, Moscow, RUS, 119019
Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC is Russia's airline group, and accounts for approximately one third of Russia's air-travel market. It provides scheduled and chartered flights. Passengers may buy tickets through websites, online booking systems, sales offices, and authorized agents. Domestic routes throughout Russia comprise the majority of total passengers. Additionally, it provides international routes to many different regions. The company's lone operating segment is Air Transportation. Outside of Russia, Europe books the next-highest number of passengers at around one fifth the total amount. The Russian Federation owns roughly half of the company.

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