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Booking Holdings (MIL:1BKNG) Beneish M-Score : -3.08 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1BKNG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.59   Max: -0.79
Current: -3.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Booking Holdings was -0.79. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.59.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Booking Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -3.48 -1.53 -2.53 -2.80

Booking Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.80 -2.50 -2.73 -3.08

Competitive Comparison of Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Booking Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9299+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9459+0.892 * 1.0946+0.115 * 0.9686
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0371+4.679 * -0.128798-0.327 * 1.1248
=-3.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,288 Mil.
Revenue was 7202.594 + 5443.011 + 4061.8 + 4386.928 = €21,094 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7202.594 + 5443.011 + 4061.8 + 4386.928 = €21,094 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €18,497 Mil.
Total Assets was €25,208 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,335 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €663 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €14,006 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €15,027 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €12,885 Mil.
Net Income was 2267.817 + 1413.009 + 713.92 + 203.574 = €4,598 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -299.132 + 34.373 + 112.24 + -208.159 = €-361 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2138.073 + 2345.725 + 2487.68 + 1234.282 = €8,206 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,230 Mil.
Revenue was 6878.517 + 5041.426 + 3528.652 + 3822.256 = €19,271 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6878.517 + 5041.426 + 3528.652 + 3822.256 = €19,271 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €17,315 Mil.
Total Assets was €24,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,289 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €610 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €12,338 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €12,024 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €11,622 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3287.749 / 21094.333) / (3229.839 / 19270.851)
=0.155859 / 0.167602
=0.9299

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(19270.851 / 19270.851) / (21094.333 / 21094.333)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (18496.629 + 1335.282) / 25208.178) / (1 - (17314.823 + 1289.312) / 24019.995)
=0.213275 / 0.225473
=0.9459

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21094.333 / 19270.851
=1.0946

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(610.279 / (610.279 + 1289.312)) / (662.654 / (662.654 + 1335.282))
=0.321269 / 0.331669
=0.9686

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14006.261 / 21094.333) / (12338.072 / 19270.851)
=0.663982 / 0.640245
=1.0371

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12885.201 + 15026.878) / 25208.178) / ((11621.611 + 12023.584) / 24019.995)
=1.107263 / 0.984396
=1.1248

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4598.32 - -360.678 - 8205.76) / 25208.178
=-0.128798

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Booking Holdings has a M-score of -3.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Booking Holdings Business Description

Address
800 Connecticut Avenue, Norwalk, CT, USA, 06854
Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airline tickets, rental cars, restaurant reservations, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates several branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, and Rentalcars.com, and has expanded into travel media with the acquisitions of Kayak and Momondo. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.

Booking Holdings Headlines

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