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Starbucks (MIL:1SBUX) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Starbucks Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Starbucks's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1SBUX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.76   Med: -2.89   Max: -2.11
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Starbucks was -2.11. The lowest was -3.76. And the median was -2.89.


Starbucks Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Starbucks's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Starbucks Beneish M-Score Chart

Starbucks Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.11 -3.15 -2.63 -2.87 -2.85

Starbucks Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -3.02 -3.01 -2.93 -2.85

Competitive Comparison of Starbucks's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Starbucks's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Starbucks's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starbucks's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starbucks's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Starbucks Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Starbucks for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9991+0.528 * 1.0194+0.404 * 0.9689+0.892 * 0.9865+0.115 * 1.013
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0275+4.679 * -0.085464-0.327 * 0.9805
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,094 Mil.
Revenue was 8175.584 + 8466.813 + 7877.96 + 8643 = €33,163 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2145.912 + 2363.283 + 2014.984 + 2377.964 = €8,902 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,170 Mil.
Total Assets was €28,237 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €16,174 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,460 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,312 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,172 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €20,805 Mil.
Net Income was 819.189 + 979.909 + 710.608 + 939.375 = €3,449 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 93.163 + 68.653 + 62.56 + 51.26 = €276 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1383.576 + 1551.523 + 465.52 + 2186.036 = €5,587 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,110 Mil.
Revenue was 8783.063 + 8462.341 + 8144.293 + 8225.922 = €33,616 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2547.89 + 2405.8 + 2131.481 + 2113.05 = €9,198 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,843 Mil.
Total Assets was €27,590 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €14,804 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,355 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,281 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,757 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €20,120 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1093.634 / 33163.357) / (1109.502 / 33615.619)
=0.032977 / 0.033006
=0.9991

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9198.221 / 33615.619) / (8902.143 / 33163.357)
=0.273629 / 0.268433
=1.0194

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6169.507 + 16174.482) / 28236.709) / (1 - (6843.286 + 14804.319) / 27590.434)
=0.20869 / 0.215395
=0.9689

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33163.357 / 33615.619
=0.9865

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1355.126 / (1355.126 + 14804.319)) / (1459.895 / (1459.895 + 16174.482))
=0.08386 / 0.082787
=1.013

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2312.427 / 33163.357) / (2281.244 / 33615.619)
=0.069728 / 0.067863
=1.0275

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20805.081 + 8172.07) / 28236.709) / ((20119.639 + 8756.546) / 27590.434)
=1.026223 / 1.046601
=0.9805

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3449.081 - 275.636 - 5586.655) / 28236.709
=-0.085464

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Starbucks has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Starbucks Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Starbucks Business Description

Address
2401 Utah Avenue South, Seattle, WA, USA, 98134
Starbucks is one of the most widely recognized restaurant brands in the world, operating more than 40,000 stores across more than 80 countries as of the end of fiscal 2024. The firm operates in three segments: North America, international markets, and channel development (grocery and ready-to-drink beverage). The coffee chain generates revenue from company-operated stores, royalties, sales of equipment and products to license partners, ready-to-drink beverages, packaged coffee sales, and single-serve products.

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