British American Tobacco Kenya (NAI:BAT) Beneish M-Score: -2.89 (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

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NAI:BAT British American Tobacco Kenya PLC NAI:BAT
69 GF Score
Price KES579.00
GF Value KES355.31
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is British American Tobacco Kenya Beneish M-Score?

British American Tobacco Kenya NAI:BAT -0.17% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates NAI:BAT with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of KES355.31 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 46 Tobacco Products companies, British American Tobacco Kenya ranks better than 69.57% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAI:BAT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.99
Current: -2.89

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of British American Tobacco Kenya was -1.99. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.59.


British American Tobacco Kenya Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

British American Tobacco Kenya Beneish M-Score Chart

British American Tobacco Kenya Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.99 0.00 -2.29 -3.25 -2.89

British American Tobacco Kenya Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 0.00 -3.25 0.00 -2.89

NAI:BAT vs PM, MO, TPB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


British American Tobacco Kenya Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NAI:BAT
69GF Score
British American Tobacco Kenya PLC NAI:BAT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

British American Tobacco Kenya Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of British American Tobacco Kenya for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1219+0.528 * 0.875+0.404 * 0.9247+0.892 * 0.9019+0.115 * 0.9295
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2709+4.679 * -0.058831-0.327 * 1.0275
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was KES3,536 Mil.
Revenue was KES23,192 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES10,820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES13,898 Mil.
Total Assets was KES23,585 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES9,458 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES734 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES2,510 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES6,198 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES52 Mil.
Net Income was KES5,246 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was KES6,633 Mil.
Total Receivables was KES3,495 Mil.
Revenue was KES25,716 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES10,497 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES13,593 Mil.
Total Assets was KES23,654 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES9,812 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES704 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES2,190 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES6,025 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES75 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3536.203 / 23191.945) / (3495.016 / 25715.903)
=0.152475 / 0.135909
=1.1219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10497.21 / 25715.903) / (10819.647 / 23191.945)
=0.408199 / 0.466526
=0.875

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13898.13 + 9457.704) / 23585.228) / (1 - (13593.457 + 9811.984) / 23654.226)
=0.009726 / 0.010518
=0.9247

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23191.945 / 25715.903
=0.9019

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(703.74 / (703.74 + 9811.984)) / (733.777 / (733.777 + 9457.704))
=0.066923 / 0.071999
=0.9295

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2510.484 / 23191.945) / (2190.345 / 25715.903)
=0.108248 / 0.085175
=1.2709

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((52.405 + 6197.535) / 23585.228) / ((74.902 + 6025.355) / 23654.226)
=0.264994 / 0.257893
=1.0275

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5245.617 - 0 - 6633.154) / 23585.228
=-0.058831

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

British American Tobacco Kenya has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 mean?
British American Tobacco Kenya (NAI:BAT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 as of Jul. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on British American Tobacco Kenya and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, British American Tobacco Kenya ranks #14 out of 46 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 30.4%.
Is British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score too high?
British American Tobacco Kenya's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. Based on the distribution chart, British American Tobacco Kenya ranks #14 out of 46 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, British American Tobacco Kenya has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does British American Tobacco Kenya's Beneish M-Score compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, British American Tobacco Kenya ranks #14 out of 46 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts British American Tobacco Kenya in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on British American Tobacco Kenya and its competitors. British American Tobacco Kenya's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is British American Tobacco Kenya stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, British American Tobacco Kenya (NAI:BAT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KES355.31, compared to a current price of KES579.00 — trading 63% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. British American Tobacco Kenya's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For British American Tobacco Kenya (NAI:BAT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is British American Tobacco Kenya (NAI:BAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, British American Tobacco Kenya stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KES579.00 is trading 63% above its estimated GF Value™ of KES355.31. GuruFocus considers British American Tobacco Kenya to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NAI:BAT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.89
  • GF Value™: KES355.31 vs. price of KES579.00 (63% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NAI:BAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


British American Tobacco Kenya Business Description

Address 08 Likoni Road, P. O. Box 30000, Industrial Area, Nairobi, KEN, 00100
British American Tobacco Kenya PLC multi-category consumer goods business that operates internationally. The business activities of the company involves activities ranging from the growing of tobacco leaf to the distribution and sale of finished tobacco products and nicotine products without tobacco. The product portfolio of the company comprises a range of high-quality and creative products, including cigarettes (combustible products), cut-rug tobacco (unprocessed tobacco), and potentially reduced-risk category of tobacco-free oral nicotine products.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:BAT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KES579.00
Price
KES355.31
GF Value