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NGGTF (National Grid) Beneish M-Score : -2.94 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is National Grid Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Grid's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NGGTF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.7   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Grid was -2.07. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.70.


National Grid Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Grid's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Grid Beneish M-Score Chart

National Grid Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.77 -2.28 -2.27 -2.94

National Grid Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.27 - -2.94 -

Competitive Comparison of National Grid's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, National Grid's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Grid's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, National Grid's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Grid's Beneish M-Score falls into.



National Grid Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Grid for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9608+0.528 * 0.8209+0.404 * 0.9372+0.892 * 0.9596+0.115 * 1.0286
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.047282-0.327 * 1.0279
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,850 Mil.
Revenue was $25,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was $18,493 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $13,188 Mil.
Total Assets was $124,936 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $87,557 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,619 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $14,471 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $53,638 Mil.
Net Income was $2,910 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $8,817 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4,176 Mil.
Revenue was $26,285 Mil.
Gross Profit was $15,820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,059 Mil.
Total Assets was $112,496 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $78,195 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,408 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,080 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $48,580 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3850.064 / 25222.363) / (4175.971 / 26285.194)
=0.152645 / 0.158872
=0.9608

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(15820.388 / 26285.194) / (18493.011 / 25222.363)
=0.601875 / 0.733199
=0.8209

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13188.056 + 87556.544) / 124936.468) / (1 - (11059.466 + 78195.388) / 112496.359)
=0.193633 / 0.206598
=0.9372

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25222.363 / 26285.194
=0.9596

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2407.767 / (2407.767 + 78195.388)) / (2618.806 / (2618.806 + 87556.544))
=0.029872 / 0.029041
=1.0286

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 25222.363) / (0 / 26285.194)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((53637.865 + 14471.41) / 124936.468) / ((48580.097 + 11080.097) / 112496.359)
=0.545151 / 0.53033
=1.0279

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2909.784 - 0 - 8817.027) / 124936.468
=-0.047282

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Grid has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Grid Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Grid Business Description

Address
1-3 Strand, London, GBR, WC2N 5EH
National Grid owns and operates the electric transmission system in England and Wales. It sold the bulk of its UK gas transmission business in fiscal 2023 to fund the acquisition of PPL's UK power distribution assets. In the Northeastern United States, it serves electricity and gas customers combined in three states. It also owns regulated transmission and electricity generation in the United States, metering services, merchant transmission lines in the UK, and the Grain (UK) liquefied natural gas facility.