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Dangote Sugar Refinery (NSA:DSRP) Beneish M-Score : -2.71 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is Dangote Sugar Refinery Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSA:DSRP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.41   Max: -1.62
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dangote Sugar Refinery was -1.62. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.41.


Dangote Sugar Refinery Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dangote Sugar Refinery Beneish M-Score Chart

Dangote Sugar Refinery Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 -2.79 -3.35 -2.43 -2.71

Dangote Sugar Refinery Semi-Annual Data
Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 -2.79 -3.35 -2.43 -2.71

Competitive Comparison of Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score

For the Confectioners subindustry, Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dangote Sugar Refinery's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Dangote Sugar Refinery Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dangote Sugar Refinery for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7175+0.528 * 0.7975+0.404 * 1.6094+0.892 * 1.4607+0.115 * 0.1075
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5746+4.679 * -0.102854-0.327 * 1.0199
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₦21,052 Mil.
Revenue was ₦403,246 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₦91,963 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦334,673 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦492,434 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦151,120 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦9,732 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦4,853 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦307,438 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦532 Mil.
Net Income was ₦54,738 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₦0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₦105,387 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₦20,086 Mil.
Revenue was ₦276,055 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₦50,209 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₦214,828 Mil.
Total Assets was ₦359,506 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₦141,665 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₦927 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₦5,781 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₦218,543 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₦1,899 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(21052.316 / 403245.988) / (20086.061 / 276054.781)
=0.052207 / 0.072761
=0.7175

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(50208.574 / 276054.781) / (91963.038 / 403245.988)
=0.181879 / 0.228057
=0.7975

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (334672.734 + 151120.294) / 492434.366) / (1 - (214827.709 + 141665.388) / 359505.765)
=0.013487 / 0.00838
=1.6094

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=403245.988 / 276054.781
=1.4607

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(927.197 / (927.197 + 141665.388)) / (9731.508 / (9731.508 + 151120.294))
=0.006502 / 0.0605
=0.1075

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4852.619 / 403245.988) / (5781.285 / 276054.781)
=0.012034 / 0.020943
=0.5746

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((531.563 + 307438.319) / 492434.366) / ((1899.305 + 218543.346) / 359505.765)
=0.625403 / 0.613183
=1.0199

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(54738.177 - 0 - 105387.002) / 492434.366
=-0.102854

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dangote Sugar Refinery has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Dangote Sugar Refinery Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Dangote Sugar Refinery (NSA:DSRP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Terminal E, Shed 20, 3rd Floor, GDNL Administrative Building, NPA Wharf Port Complex, Apapa, Lagos, NGA
Dangote Sugar Refinery PLC is engaged in refining raw sugar into edible sugar and selling refined sugar. The company is also engaged in the cultivation and milling of sugar cane to finished sugar. Its geographical segments include Northern Nigeria, Western Nigeria, Eastern Nigeria, and Lagos. The company derives a majority of revenue from the Northern Nigeria region.

Dangote Sugar Refinery (NSA:DSRP) Headlines

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