Varun Beverages (NSE:VBL) Beneish M-Score: -2.10 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


NSE:VBL Varun Beverages Ltd NSE:VBL
96 GF Score
Price ₹507.65
GF Value ₹573.53
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Varun Beverages Beneish M-Score?

Varun Beverages NSE:VBL +0.19% 96 Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:VBL with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹573.53 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 109 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Varun Beverages ranks worse than 77.98% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.1 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Varun Beverages's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:VBL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.93   Med: -2.2   Max: -1.82
Current: -2.1

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Varun Beverages was -1.82. The lowest was -2.93. And the median was -2.20.


Varun Beverages Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Varun Beverages's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Varun Beverages Beneish M-Score Chart

Varun Beverages Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.19 -2.17 -1.82 -2.10

Varun Beverages Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.10 0.00

NSE:VBL vs KO, PEP, MNST: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Varun Beverages's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Varun Beverages Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Varun Beverages's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Varun Beverages's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NSE:VBL
96GF Score
Varun Beverages Ltd NSE:VBL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Varun Beverages Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Varun Beverages for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3472+0.528 * 1.0158+0.404 * 1.0563+0.892 * 1.0715+0.115 * 0.9061
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0509+4.679 * -0.018495-0.327 * 0.7933
=-2.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₹23,882 Mil.
Revenue was ₹208,346 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹109,391 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹78,960 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹255,652 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹157,489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹12,165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹24,451 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹40,739 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹9,402 Mil.
Net Income was ₹30,365 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₹35,093 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₹16,545 Mil.
Revenue was ₹194,450 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₹103,713 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹78,640 Mil.
Total Assets was ₹231,439 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₹136,342 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₹9,474 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₹21,716 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹45,244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₹11,978 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(23881.52 / 208346.04) / (16544.59 / 194450.46)
=0.114624 / 0.085084
=1.3472

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(103713.04 / 194450.46) / (109390.98 / 208346.04)
=0.533365 / 0.525045
=1.0158

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (78960.43 + 157488.55) / 255651.56) / (1 - (78639.74 + 136342.27) / 231439.1)
=0.075112 / 0.071108
=1.0563

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=208346.04 / 194450.46
=1.0715

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9473.86 / (9473.86 + 136342.27)) / (12164.63 / (12164.63 + 157488.55))
=0.064971 / 0.071703
=0.9061

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(24450.98 / 208346.04) / (21715.55 / 194450.46)
=0.117358 / 0.111677
=1.0509

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9402.45 + 40739.45) / 255651.56) / ((11977.75 + 45244.25) / 231439.1)
=0.196134 / 0.247244
=0.7933

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(30364.89 - 0 - 35093.14) / 255651.56
=-0.018495

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Varun Beverages has a M-score of -2.10 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 mean?
Varun Beverages (NSE:VBL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Varun Beverages and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Varun Beverages ranks #85 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 78%.
Is Varun Beverages' Beneish M-Score too high?
Varun Beverages' current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. Based on the distribution chart, Varun Beverages ranks #85 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Varun Beverages has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Varun Beverages' Beneish M-Score compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Varun Beverages ranks #85 out of 109 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Varun Beverages in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Varun Beverages and its competitors. Varun Beverages's current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Varun Beverages stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Varun Beverages (NSE:VBL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹573.53, compared to a current price of ₹507.65 — trading 11.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. Varun Beverages' overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Varun Beverages (NSE:VBL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Varun Beverages (NSE:VBL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Varun Beverages stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹507.65 is trading 11.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹573.53. GuruFocus considers Varun Beverages to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:VBL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.10
  • GF Value™: ₹573.53 vs. price of ₹507.65 (11.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:VBL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Varun Beverages Business Description

Other Exchanges 540180:India
Address Institutional Area, Plot No. 31, Sector - 44, Gurugram, HR, IND, 122002
Varun Beverages Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, selling, bottling, and distribution of beverages of the Pepsi brand in geographically pre-defined territories of India, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Zambia, Morocco, and Zimbabwe. Its brands include Seven-Up, Mountain Dew, Mirinda, Nimbooz, Tropicana Slice, and other related products. The firm generates a majority of its revenue within India.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:VBL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹507.65
Price
₹573.53
GF Value